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fangorithm

Notice

MLB Player Projections

Monday, August 17, 2026
54 projections · 6 pitchers

In-house daily hitter projections from fangorithm — an honest expected per-plate-appearance outcome vector (1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, HBP, K, out in play) shown as percentages, plus the expected volume for each hitter on the slate.

TB vs BAL

Tropicana Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Yandy DíazTBBAL1Official100%4.6521.5%4.7%0.2%2.7%7.5%1.3%9.7%52.3%
Jonathan ArandaTBBAL2Official100%4.5519.1%5.0%0.1%3.2%10.8%0.9%14.9%46.0%
Junior CamineroTBBAL3Official100%4.4415.5%3.9%0.1%6.6%9.9%0.3%14.3%49.4%
Liam HicksTBBAL4Official100%4.3319.2%3.6%0.3%3.7%9.8%1.6%5.3%56.6%
Chandler SimpsonTBBAL5Official100%4.2224.4%3.2%0.9%0.5%5.2%0.2%5.5%60.0%
Ryan ViladeTBBAL6Official100%4.1116.1%4.4%0.3%4.0%9.0%0.5%14.4%51.4%
Cedric MullinsTBBAL7Official100%4.0013.7%3.2%0.6%3.8%8.0%1.1%14.5%55.1%
Richie PalaciosTBBAL8Official100%3.9015.9%4.4%0.4%2.0%12.2%0.9%12.8%51.5%
Jorge MateoTBBAL9Official100%3.7916.7%5.2%0.1%2.7%7.1%0.4%20.4%47.4%
Tyler O'NeillBALTB1Official100%4.6513.2%4.8%0.1%4.7%9.0%0.7%22.4%45.1%
Pete AlonsoBALTB2Official100%4.5514.9%5.3%0.1%4.3%9.0%1.4%20.4%44.6%
Jackson HollidayBALTB3Official100%4.4414.9%4.8%0.3%2.2%12.0%0.4%21.2%44.2%
Coby MayoBALTB4Official100%4.3312.3%5.4%0.5%5.4%7.9%1.0%23.9%43.6%
Gunnar HendersonBALTB5Official100%4.2212.1%5.1%0.9%3.3%8.6%1.6%17.9%50.5%
Christian Encarnacion-StrandBALTB6Official100%4.1114.2%4.8%0.2%4.9%5.8%1.0%20.9%48.2%
Jeremiah JacksonBALTB7Official100%4.0015.0%4.7%0.1%2.2%4.7%1.0%17.3%55.0%
Carlos NarvaezBALTB8Official100%3.9013.8%4.6%0.1%1.5%7.1%1.7%25.4%45.7%
Christian FranklinBALTB9Official100%3.7913.2%4.5%0.3%2.3%10.3%1.7%21.9%45.8%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Shane McClanahanTBLBAL20.84.713.8%4.5%0.3%2.9%9.0%1.1%20.9%47.4%
Brandon YoungBALRTB23.95.217.4%4.2%0.3%2.9%8.7%0.7%13.0%52.7%

CIN vs STL

Great American Ball Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Elly De La CruzCINSTL1Official100%4.6514.2%4.3%0.5%3.6%13.1%0.4%20.5%43.3%
Sal StewartCINSTL2Official100%4.5514.7%4.9%0.0%4.7%10.5%0.6%16.2%48.4%
J.J. BledayCINSTL3Official100%4.4411.2%4.3%0.2%4.6%16.7%0.7%15.0%47.4%
Eugenio SuárezCINSTL4Official100%4.3311.8%4.6%0.0%4.4%10.3%1.1%27.5%40.3%
Michael TogliaCINSTL5Official100%4.2213.3%5.3%0.2%2.6%10.2%1.0%21.3%46.1%
Matt McLainCINSTL6Official100%4.1110.6%6.1%0.0%2.7%11.6%1.0%22.7%45.4%
Hector RodriguezCINSTL7Official100%4.0012.4%4.8%0.1%2.3%11.7%0.9%18.5%49.3%
Jose TrevinoCINSTL8Official100%3.9016.5%4.6%0.1%3.7%4.7%0.6%14.8%55.0%
TJ FriedlCINSTL9Official100%3.7911.6%3.7%0.3%1.5%9.9%1.6%17.9%53.6%
JJ WetherholtSTLCIN1Official100%4.6515.2%3.0%0.0%3.1%15.2%2.5%12.9%48.0%
Ivan HerreraSTLCIN2Official100%4.5515.3%4.8%0.2%2.5%11.0%4.4%14.7%47.2%
Alec BurlesonSTLCIN3Official100%4.4415.1%7.7%0.2%4.8%12.1%1.1%13.0%45.9%
Jordan WalkerSTLCIN4Official100%4.3316.4%6.1%0.0%4.6%9.3%0.9%20.2%42.5%
Joshua BaezSTLCIN5Official100%4.2213.3%4.4%0.2%4.7%11.0%0.9%21.1%44.2%
Nathan ChurchSTLCIN6Official100%4.1115.6%3.8%0.2%3.0%8.2%0.8%16.5%51.9%
Masyn WinnSTLCIN7Official100%4.0015.9%3.2%0.4%1.4%12.4%1.5%17.0%48.2%
Bryan TorresSTLCIN8Official100%3.9014.1%4.8%0.2%3.3%12.5%1.0%17.8%46.2%
Blaze JordanSTLCIN9Official100%3.7916.0%4.6%0.5%2.0%6.5%0.6%13.5%56.3%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Rhett LowderCINRSTL20.54.314.8%4.8%0.2%3.3%12.1%1.3%15.5%47.9%
Andre PallanteSTLRCIN23.25.113.5%4.6%0.2%3.3%11.0%0.9%18.8%47.7%

PHI vs MIA

Citizens Bank Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Kyle SchwarberPHIMIA1Official100%4.6510.4%1.8%0.2%7.8%9.3%0.6%34.1%35.8%
Trea TurnerPHIMIA2Official100%4.5515.5%2.6%0.3%3.4%3.7%0.4%21.1%52.9%
Bryce HarperPHIMIA3Official100%4.4412.3%3.7%0.7%6.4%10.4%0.2%18.0%48.1%
Luis ArraezPHIMIA4Official100%4.3320.0%3.8%1.3%1.4%3.8%0.4%3.8%65.4%
Alec BohmPHIMIA5Official100%4.2216.3%2.6%0.1%2.9%4.7%1.0%12.8%59.7%
Bryson StottPHIMIA6Official100%4.1114.3%3.7%1.3%2.4%6.3%0.3%16.0%55.6%
Brandon MarshPHIMIA7Official100%4.0018.3%2.7%0.3%4.5%4.5%0.3%19.7%49.6%
J.T. RealmutoPHIMIA8Official100%3.9013.3%2.9%0.1%2.9%4.3%1.6%20.9%54.0%
Justin CrawfordPHIMIA9Official100%3.7917.8%3.5%0.8%1.0%3.6%0.5%17.3%55.4%
Esteury RuizMIAPHI1Official100%4.6511.7%3.5%0.4%3.6%6.1%2.2%40.1%32.3%
Heriberto HernandezMIAPHI2Official100%4.5512.9%2.3%0.3%5.8%5.1%0.7%34.7%38.1%
Xavier EdwardsMIAPHI3Official100%4.4418.8%2.0%0.5%2.2%5.9%0.2%22.5%47.9%
Agustin RamirezMIAPHI4Official100%4.3315.0%3.2%0.5%2.1%6.2%1.1%30.6%41.2%
Otto LopezMIAPHI5Official100%4.2221.5%4.1%1.0%1.9%2.3%0.5%16.9%51.7%
Javier SanojaMIAPHI6Official100%4.1116.9%4.8%0.3%2.0%3.3%0.3%16.6%55.9%
Leo JimenezMIAPHI7Official100%4.0014.4%2.1%0.1%2.3%4.1%2.7%27.6%46.8%
Griffin ConineMIAPHI8Official100%3.9014.8%2.1%0.1%4.2%5.2%1.3%38.7%33.5%
Brian NavarretoMIAPHI9Official100%3.7913.1%2.8%0.2%2.3%3.8%2.0%35.6%40.3%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Cristopher SanchezPHILMIA25.26.116.3%3.0%0.3%2.7%4.1%1.1%29.2%43.3%
Janson JunkMIARPHI22.05.215.2%2.9%0.6%3.5%5.7%0.6%18.1%53.2%