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fangorithm

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MLB Player Projections

Thursday, August 13, 2026
129 projections · 14 pitchers
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In-house daily hitter projections from fangorithm — an honest expected per-plate-appearance outcome vector (1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, HBP, K, out in play) shown as percentages, plus the expected volume for each hitter on the slate.

TOR vs BOS

Rogers Centre
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Charles McAdooTORBOS1Official100%4.6512.5%2.2%0.1%2.3%7.0%0.7%33.7%41.4%
Brett BatemanTORBOS2Projected85%4.5513.8%3.3%0.2%1.7%9.7%1.0%23.8%46.5%
Ernie ClementTORBOS2Official100%4.5517.0%3.6%0.2%1.7%4.3%0.4%14.9%57.9%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TORBOS3Official100%4.4415.0%2.8%0.0%1.2%11.0%0.8%20.8%48.4%
Alejandro KirkTORBOS4Projected85%4.3315.2%2.3%0.1%1.8%11.0%0.7%16.8%52.3%
George SpringerTORBOS4Official100%4.3312.5%3.4%0.4%1.7%9.5%1.0%25.5%45.9%
Kazuma OkamotoTORBOS5Official100%4.2212.0%2.6%0.0%2.9%7.9%0.9%38.4%35.2%
Andrés GiménezTORBOS6Official100%4.1114.1%3.0%0.1%1.3%3.3%2.7%26.0%49.6%
Brandon ValenzuelaTORBOS7Official100%4.0012.3%2.7%0.1%2.3%9.4%0.4%33.9%39.0%
Jesus SanchezTORBOS8Projected85%3.9014.2%3.7%0.1%2.0%7.4%1.7%24.2%46.6%
Myles StrawTORBOS8Official100%3.9012.1%3.7%0.2%1.0%6.7%0.5%24.5%51.4%
Nathan LukesTORBOS9Official100%3.7913.6%2.4%0.1%1.1%5.5%1.6%27.8%48.0%
Nick SogardBOSTOR1Official100%4.6514.9%3.0%0.5%1.0%15.7%0.5%14.9%49.4%
Ceddanne RafaelaBOSTOR2Official100%4.5518.5%3.8%0.2%2.2%4.9%1.3%16.7%52.3%
Wilyer AbreuBOSTOR3Official100%4.4412.5%3.0%0.3%3.0%11.2%0.4%20.5%49.1%
Willson ContrerasBOSTOR4Official100%4.3314.2%2.8%0.2%3.5%10.8%4.1%24.5%39.8%
Masataka YoshidaBOSTOR5Official100%4.2215.7%3.1%0.2%1.4%11.4%1.1%9.8%57.2%
Caleb DurbinBOSTOR6Official100%4.1113.1%3.6%0.2%2.0%9.2%1.5%14.5%55.9%
Jarren DuranBOSTOR7Official100%4.0011.6%1.9%0.5%3.0%7.0%0.8%27.2%48.0%
Andruw MonasterioBOSTOR8Official100%3.9014.8%4.9%0.2%1.4%8.3%1.0%19.3%50.2%
Connor WongBOSTOR9Official100%3.7912.6%4.3%0.1%1.3%9.9%2.1%24.5%45.3%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Max ScherzerTORRBOS19.44.414.2%3.3%0.2%2.4%10.7%1.2%17.9%50.2%
Payton TolleBOSLTOR22.75.613.3%3.2%0.1%1.8%6.5%0.9%27.5%46.7%

DET vs CLE

Comerica Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Gleyber TorresDETCLE1Official100%4.6510.0%5.0%0.1%1.6%13.6%0.9%24.4%44.4%
Dillon DinglerDETCLE2Official100%4.5510.9%6.0%0.4%2.2%5.4%1.2%28.8%45.0%
Kevin McGonigleDETCLE3Official100%4.4413.4%4.4%0.5%1.3%9.5%0.5%21.7%48.8%
Eduardo ValenciaDETCLE4Official100%4.3311.5%7.8%0.3%2.5%4.9%0.7%30.4%41.8%
Spencer TorkelsonDETCLE5Official100%4.2210.3%6.7%0.1%1.9%9.5%0.5%33.3%37.7%
Hao-Yu LeeDETCLE6Official100%4.1112.4%6.8%0.8%1.5%4.3%0.3%27.8%46.2%
Max ClarkDETCLE7Official100%4.0012.0%5.4%0.9%1.5%7.9%0.7%29.1%42.6%
Javier BáezDETCLE8Official100%3.9013.6%4.8%0.2%1.5%4.4%0.6%23.2%51.7%
Ben MalgeriDETCLE9Official100%3.7911.4%4.7%0.3%1.3%9.9%0.5%28.6%43.4%
Steven KwanCLEDET1Official100%4.6515.5%4.0%0.4%0.5%8.5%0.8%8.4%62.0%
Chase DeLauterCLEDET2Official100%4.5512.9%6.0%0.2%2.0%8.3%0.3%11.5%58.9%
José RamírezCLEDET3Official100%4.4410.6%5.8%0.1%1.3%9.2%0.5%12.2%60.2%
Nate LoweCLEDET4Official100%4.3311.6%7.7%0.1%2.5%6.6%0.3%22.7%48.5%
Jo AdellCLEDET5Official100%4.2211.3%5.1%0.3%1.5%3.2%3.0%21.4%54.3%
Travis BazzanaCLEDET6Official100%4.1111.7%5.6%0.7%1.8%8.1%0.9%18.2%52.9%
Angel GenaoCLEDET7Official100%4.0012.8%4.8%0.3%1.7%6.5%1.3%13.7%58.8%
Austin HedgesCLEDET8Official100%3.9012.7%4.8%0.1%1.7%6.1%0.9%17.4%56.3%
Brayan RocchioCLEDET9Official100%3.7913.8%4.7%0.4%1.2%5.0%1.7%12.7%60.6%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Keider MonteroDETRCLE20.14.912.0%5.5%0.3%1.6%6.6%1.0%14.8%58.2%
Parker MessickCLELDET23.35.711.5%5.5%0.5%1.9%7.2%0.6%27.3%45.6%

MIA vs PIT

LoanDepot Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Jakob MarseeMIAPIT1Official100%4.6514.1%3.9%0.5%1.3%7.4%1.3%25.0%46.4%
Xavier EdwardsMIAPIT2Official100%4.5520.2%3.5%1.4%1.0%6.9%0.3%15.7%51.1%
Otto LopezMIAPIT3Official100%4.4420.2%5.2%1.3%1.5%3.1%1.1%16.6%51.0%
Griffin ConineMIAPIT4Official100%4.3313.2%3.8%0.1%4.9%6.7%1.1%34.8%35.4%
Agustin RamirezMIAPIT5Official100%4.2215.8%3.5%0.4%1.5%5.7%1.3%27.6%44.2%
Leo JimenezMIAPIT6Official100%4.1115.8%3.1%0.1%1.2%5.6%2.9%23.2%48.1%
Owen CaissieMIAPIT7Official100%4.0012.6%4.4%0.1%3.7%4.8%1.1%40.3%33.1%
Javier SanojaMIAPIT8Official100%3.9017.8%7.5%0.5%1.1%3.4%0.4%8.9%60.4%
Esteury RuizMIAPIT9Official100%3.7913.7%5.9%0.4%2.6%6.3%4.0%30.3%36.9%
Spencer HorwitzPITMIA1Official100%4.6516.0%4.2%0.4%2.5%10.6%1.3%11.4%53.5%
Brandon LowePITMIA2Official100%4.5514.2%5.5%0.3%4.2%8.5%0.6%21.5%45.2%
Bryan ReynoldsPITMIA3Official100%4.4414.6%4.9%0.6%2.0%11.8%1.6%20.6%43.9%
Nick GonzalesPITMIA4Official100%4.3322.3%4.5%0.3%1.2%5.0%1.6%13.5%51.5%
Esmerlyn ValdezPITMIA5Official100%4.2211.4%3.9%0.3%4.3%11.5%0.8%32.7%35.0%
Jacob GonzalezPITMIA6Official100%4.1115.7%3.6%0.1%2.7%5.0%0.9%17.0%54.9%
Jake MangumPITMIA7Official100%4.0022.0%3.4%0.4%1.1%4.9%1.7%15.1%51.3%
Jared TrioloPITMIA8Official100%3.9017.2%4.0%0.1%0.8%7.1%1.4%18.7%50.7%
Rafael FloresPITMIA9Official100%3.7914.6%4.3%0.3%2.3%9.4%0.9%18.9%49.4%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Tyler PhillipsMIARPIT15.03.416.1%4.2%0.3%2.3%8.7%1.1%18.1%49.1%
Braxton AshcraftPITRMIA23.45.515.5%4.5%0.6%2.2%5.2%1.4%25.2%45.4%

NYY vs SEA

Yankee Stadium
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Trent GrishamNYYSEA1Official100%4.658.1%5.9%0.3%6.2%9.8%0.3%21.9%47.6%
Ben RiceNYYSEA2Official100%4.557.9%6.1%0.3%9.4%10.5%0.4%29.6%35.8%
Spencer JonesNYYSEA3Official100%4.448.9%4.8%0.2%4.5%8.4%0.5%40.2%32.5%
Luis Garcia Jr.NYYSEA4Official100%4.3311.0%7.3%0.9%8.8%3.6%0.3%19.3%48.8%
George Lombard Jr.NYYSEA5Official100%4.2211.0%3.8%0.2%5.7%7.5%0.8%29.8%41.2%
Jasrado Chisholm Jr.NYYSEA6Official100%4.119.3%3.9%0.2%6.3%8.9%0.4%34.9%36.1%
Jose CaballeroNYYSEA7Official100%4.0011.8%4.7%0.1%5.4%4.9%1.3%26.9%44.9%
Ryan McMahonNYYSEA8Official100%3.909.5%5.0%0.1%5.9%6.1%0.5%35.1%37.8%
Ali SanchezNYYSEA9Official100%3.7910.8%4.2%0.1%3.5%4.9%1.5%32.5%42.4%
Randy ArozarenaSEANYY1Official100%4.6513.6%5.5%0.2%3.8%8.8%2.0%24.0%42.2%
Julio RodriguezSEANYY2Official100%4.5512.2%3.3%0.1%5.6%10.4%0.8%22.9%44.7%
Dominic CanzoneSEANYY3Official100%4.4410.7%4.0%0.2%5.2%11.4%1.2%25.4%41.9%
Cal RaleighSEANYY4Official100%4.338.5%2.0%0.1%3.6%11.4%0.7%37.4%36.3%
Josh NaylorSEANYY5Official100%4.2215.6%4.5%0.1%2.0%7.2%1.2%17.8%51.6%
Brendan DonovanSEANYY6Official100%4.1112.4%3.8%0.4%3.0%8.3%2.1%22.9%47.0%
Weston WilsonSEANYY7Official100%4.0011.5%3.8%0.1%3.8%9.7%1.0%30.8%39.2%
Jhonny PeredaSEANYY8Official100%3.9013.0%2.8%0.2%4.0%8.7%1.2%22.4%47.6%
Leonardo RivasSEANYY9Official100%3.799.8%3.2%0.4%1.8%12.1%1.1%30.0%41.6%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Max FriedNYYLSEA22.25.112.0%4.0%0.2%3.5%9.8%1.1%25.3%44.0%
Logan GilbertSEARNYY23.55.69.4%5.3%0.2%5.7%6.8%0.7%30.9%40.9%

CWS vs CIN

Rate Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Chase MeidrothCWSCIN1Official100%4.6516.3%6.6%0.0%2.2%12.7%0.3%17.0%44.8%
Randal GrichukCWSCIN2Official100%4.5512.4%8.3%0.2%3.7%6.7%0.4%21.0%47.2%
Miguel VargasCWSCIN3Official100%4.4411.0%4.9%0.2%4.0%16.0%0.5%15.3%48.1%
Braden MontgomeryCWSCIN4Official100%4.3312.4%4.6%0.7%1.7%12.0%0.7%21.2%46.7%
Brenton DoyleCWSCIN5Official100%4.2214.2%5.5%0.1%1.7%10.9%0.3%23.2%44.0%
Colson MontgomeryCWSCIN6Official100%4.1112.0%5.3%0.0%4.2%9.7%1.3%27.2%40.3%
Edgar QueroCWSCIN7Official100%4.0014.0%1.7%0.1%2.2%10.3%1.0%16.5%54.3%
Sam AntonacciCWSCIN8Official100%3.9015.5%4.6%0.2%1.3%7.6%2.7%16.1%52.0%
Luisangel AcunaCWSCIN9Official100%3.7918.1%3.1%0.1%1.0%5.2%0.4%15.3%56.9%
Elly De La CruzCINCWS1Official100%4.6514.9%5.2%0.6%2.8%10.1%0.5%25.6%40.3%
Sal StewartCINCWS2Official100%4.5514.6%6.1%0.0%3.5%8.5%0.6%20.8%46.0%
J.J. BledayCINCWS3Official100%4.4412.1%5.0%0.2%3.6%13.2%0.8%20.2%44.9%
Tyler StephensonCINCWS4Official100%4.3314.7%6.1%0.1%2.6%7.9%0.6%26.2%41.9%
Eugenio SuárezCINCWS5Official100%4.2212.2%5.2%0.0%3.2%7.8%1.0%34.1%36.4%
Dane MyersCINCWS6Official100%4.1116.6%4.0%0.1%1.1%10.3%1.2%26.9%39.9%
Hector RodriguezCINCWS7Official100%4.0013.1%5.9%0.2%1.8%9.2%1.0%24.5%44.4%
Matt McLainCINCWS8Official100%3.9010.9%7.0%0.0%1.8%8.9%1.2%27.5%42.6%
Ke'Bryan HayesCINCWS9Official100%3.7912.3%2.5%0.4%1.9%5.8%1.1%19.6%56.5%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Davis MartinCWSRCIN22.55.114.0%5.5%0.2%2.4%8.6%1.0%24.5%43.7%
Andrew AbbottCINLCWS22.95.214.3%4.4%0.2%2.5%10.4%0.6%19.5%48.2%

WAS vs CHC

Nationals Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
C.J. AbramsWASCHC1Official100%4.658.8%3.7%1.1%8.1%7.8%1.5%19.7%49.4%
Abimelec OrtizWASCHC2Official100%4.558.5%3.9%0.5%6.3%6.3%0.6%20.2%53.7%
Dylan CrewsWASCHC3Official100%4.447.9%2.8%0.2%3.7%4.9%1.5%24.4%54.6%
Daylen LileWASCHC4Official100%4.338.3%4.8%2.0%4.9%4.6%0.6%18.4%56.5%
Brady HouseWASCHC5Official100%4.228.0%3.3%0.2%4.4%5.3%0.4%29.2%49.2%
Jorbit VivasWASCHC6Official100%4.119.7%3.6%0.9%1.8%8.5%1.0%15.1%59.4%
Andres ChaparroWASCHC7Official100%4.006.9%5.4%0.4%5.3%7.9%1.3%23.7%49.2%
Keibert RuizWASCHC8Official100%3.909.7%7.2%0.2%3.5%4.6%0.6%9.8%64.4%
Andrew PinckneyWASCHC9Official100%3.798.5%3.7%0.7%4.6%7.8%0.7%20.7%53.4%
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCWAS1Official100%4.6515.2%4.9%1.4%6.9%9.8%2.2%26.8%32.8%
Seiya SuzukiCHCWAS2Official100%4.5517.5%3.9%0.1%4.9%8.8%1.4%28.1%35.4%
Michael BuschCHCWAS3Official100%4.4416.9%3.5%0.4%3.4%11.2%2.5%23.9%38.3%
Alex BregmanCHCWAS4Official100%4.3318.8%4.0%0.3%3.5%8.4%1.8%17.4%45.7%
Ian HappCHCWAS5Official100%4.2213.6%3.9%0.6%5.2%11.9%1.6%31.0%32.3%
Pedro RamirezCHCWAS6Official100%4.1119.0%4.9%0.9%2.5%8.0%0.7%20.1%43.9%
Dansby SwansonCHCWAS7Official100%4.0015.5%3.3%0.5%3.5%10.6%1.0%22.7%43.0%
Michael ConfortoCHCWAS8Official100%3.9013.3%4.9%0.1%4.7%10.0%0.9%31.0%35.0%
Miguel AmayaCHCWAS9Official100%3.7915.9%4.4%0.1%3.5%7.0%4.6%27.3%37.2%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Cade CavalliWASRCHC22.14.716.5%4.0%0.4%4.3%9.4%2.0%25.1%38.3%
Kevin GausmanCHCRWAS23.35.710.4%4.0%0.6%4.4%6.6%0.6%20.6%52.8%

MIN vs PHI

Field of Dreams
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Trevor LarnachMINPHI1Official100%4.6516.6%5.7%0.4%3.1%9.4%0.6%18.6%45.6%
Byron BuxtonMINPHI2Official100%4.5512.7%4.3%0.4%8.3%6.1%0.9%25.6%41.8%
Ryan JeffersMINPHI3Official100%4.4414.9%4.8%0.3%4.9%10.2%0.7%19.4%44.8%
Josh BellMINPHI4Official100%4.3314.3%5.4%0.3%4.0%7.9%0.3%22.8%45.0%
Royce LewisMINPHI5Official100%4.2214.1%4.5%0.2%4.4%8.0%0.5%26.9%41.2%
Kody ClemensMINPHI6Official100%4.1111.8%5.0%1.1%5.7%5.6%0.8%23.8%46.3%
Luke KeaschallMINPHI7Official100%4.0017.7%3.9%0.4%1.9%9.3%2.0%15.8%49.1%
Brooks LeeMINPHI8Official100%3.9016.4%4.3%0.9%5.2%6.5%0.3%15.2%51.3%
Kaelen CulpepperMINPHI9Official100%3.7914.2%3.6%0.4%3.9%7.4%1.1%27.3%42.1%
Kyle SchwarberPHIMIN1Official100%4.659.5%2.3%0.1%6.3%14.3%0.6%40.5%26.3%
Trea TurnerPHIMIN2Official100%4.5514.8%3.6%0.2%3.1%5.9%0.4%27.8%44.2%
Bryce HarperPHIMIN3Official100%4.4410.9%5.4%0.4%5.8%16.2%0.3%23.0%38.1%
Luis ArraezPHIMIN4Official100%4.3319.6%5.7%0.9%1.4%6.8%0.5%5.7%59.5%
Bryson StottPHIMIN5Official100%4.2213.4%5.5%0.9%2.2%10.1%0.4%21.8%45.7%
Alec BohmPHIMIN6Official100%4.1115.5%3.4%0.0%2.4%8.1%1.1%17.0%52.4%
Brandon MarshPHIMIN7Official100%4.0017.6%4.1%0.2%3.9%7.0%0.4%25.6%41.3%
J.T. RealmutoPHIMIN8Official100%3.9012.8%4.3%0.1%2.7%7.4%1.7%26.3%44.8%
Justin CrawfordPHIMIN9Official100%3.7917.0%4.9%0.6%1.0%6.2%0.5%23.0%46.9%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Taj BradleyMINRPHI23.85.413.7%4.2%0.3%3.1%9.7%0.6%23.7%44.6%
Aaron NolaPHIRMIN22.65.114.5%4.5%0.5%4.6%7.7%0.6%22.1%45.5%