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fangorithm

Notice

MLB Player Projections

Monday, August 17, 2026
144 projections · 18 pitchers

In-house daily hitter projections from fangorithm — an honest expected per-plate-appearance outcome vector (1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, HBP, K, out in play) shown as percentages, plus the expected volume for each hitter on the slate.

TB vs BAL

Tropicana Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Yandy DíazTBBAL1Official100%4.6521.5%4.7%0.2%2.7%7.5%1.3%9.7%52.3%
Jonathan ArandaTBBAL2Official100%4.5519.1%5.0%0.1%3.2%10.8%0.9%14.9%46.0%
Junior CamineroTBBAL3Official100%4.4415.5%3.9%0.1%6.6%9.9%0.3%14.3%49.4%
Liam HicksTBBAL4Official100%4.3319.2%3.6%0.3%3.7%9.8%1.6%5.3%56.6%
Chandler SimpsonTBBAL5Official100%4.2224.4%3.2%0.9%0.5%5.2%0.2%5.5%60.0%
Ryan ViladeTBBAL6Official100%4.1116.1%4.4%0.3%4.0%9.0%0.5%14.4%51.4%
Cedric MullinsTBBAL7Official100%4.0013.7%3.2%0.6%3.8%8.0%1.1%14.5%55.1%
Richie PalaciosTBBAL8Official100%3.9015.9%4.4%0.4%2.0%12.2%0.9%12.8%51.5%
Jorge MateoTBBAL9Official100%3.7916.7%5.2%0.1%2.7%7.1%0.4%20.4%47.4%
Tyler O'NeillBALTB1Official100%4.6513.2%4.8%0.1%4.7%9.0%0.7%22.4%45.1%
Pete AlonsoBALTB2Official100%4.5514.9%5.3%0.1%4.3%9.0%1.4%20.4%44.6%
Jackson HollidayBALTB3Official100%4.4414.9%4.8%0.3%2.2%12.0%0.4%21.2%44.2%
Coby MayoBALTB4Official100%4.3312.3%5.4%0.5%5.4%7.9%1.0%23.9%43.6%
Gunnar HendersonBALTB5Official100%4.2212.1%5.1%0.9%3.3%8.6%1.6%17.9%50.5%
Christian Encarnacion-StrandBALTB6Official100%4.1114.2%4.8%0.2%4.9%5.8%1.0%20.9%48.2%
Jeremiah JacksonBALTB7Official100%4.0015.0%4.7%0.1%2.2%4.7%1.0%17.3%55.0%
Carlos NarvaezBALTB8Official100%3.9013.8%4.6%0.1%1.5%7.1%1.7%25.4%45.7%
Christian FranklinBALTB9Official100%3.7913.2%4.5%0.3%2.3%10.3%1.7%21.9%45.8%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Shane McClanahanTBLBAL20.84.713.8%4.5%0.3%2.9%9.0%1.1%20.9%47.4%
Brandon YoungBALRTB23.95.217.4%4.2%0.3%2.9%8.7%0.7%13.0%52.7%

CIN vs STL

Great American Ball Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Elly De La CruzCINSTL1Official100%4.6514.2%4.3%0.5%3.6%13.1%0.4%20.5%43.3%
Sal StewartCINSTL2Official100%4.5514.7%4.9%0.0%4.7%10.5%0.6%16.2%48.4%
J.J. BledayCINSTL3Official100%4.4411.2%4.3%0.2%4.6%16.7%0.7%15.0%47.4%
Eugenio SuárezCINSTL4Official100%4.3311.8%4.6%0.0%4.4%10.3%1.1%27.5%40.3%
Michael TogliaCINSTL5Official100%4.2213.3%5.3%0.2%2.6%10.2%1.0%21.3%46.1%
Matt McLainCINSTL6Official100%4.1110.6%6.1%0.0%2.7%11.6%1.0%22.7%45.4%
Hector RodriguezCINSTL7Official100%4.0012.4%4.8%0.1%2.3%11.7%0.9%18.5%49.3%
Jose TrevinoCINSTL8Official100%3.9016.5%4.6%0.1%3.7%4.7%0.6%14.8%55.0%
TJ FriedlCINSTL9Official100%3.7911.6%3.7%0.3%1.5%9.9%1.6%17.9%53.6%
JJ WetherholtSTLCIN1Official100%4.6515.2%3.0%0.0%3.1%15.2%2.5%12.9%48.0%
Ivan HerreraSTLCIN2Official100%4.5515.3%4.8%0.2%2.5%11.0%4.4%14.7%47.2%
Alec BurlesonSTLCIN3Official100%4.4415.1%7.7%0.2%4.8%12.1%1.1%13.0%45.9%
Jordan WalkerSTLCIN4Official100%4.3316.4%6.1%0.0%4.6%9.3%0.9%20.2%42.5%
Joshua BaezSTLCIN5Official100%4.2213.3%4.4%0.2%4.7%11.0%0.9%21.1%44.2%
Nathan ChurchSTLCIN6Official100%4.1115.6%3.8%0.2%3.0%8.2%0.8%16.5%51.9%
Masyn WinnSTLCIN7Official100%4.0015.9%3.2%0.4%1.4%12.4%1.5%17.0%48.2%
Bryan TorresSTLCIN8Official100%3.9014.1%4.8%0.2%3.3%12.5%1.0%17.8%46.2%
Blaze JordanSTLCIN9Official100%3.7916.0%4.6%0.5%2.0%6.5%0.6%13.5%56.3%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Rhett LowderCINRSTL20.54.314.8%4.8%0.2%3.3%12.1%1.3%15.5%47.9%
Andre PallanteSTLRCIN23.25.113.5%4.6%0.2%3.3%11.0%0.9%18.8%47.7%

PHI vs MIA

Citizens Bank Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Kyle SchwarberPHIMIA1Official100%4.6510.4%1.8%0.2%7.8%9.3%0.6%34.1%35.8%
Trea TurnerPHIMIA2Official100%4.5515.5%2.6%0.3%3.4%3.7%0.4%21.1%52.9%
Bryce HarperPHIMIA3Official100%4.4412.3%3.7%0.7%6.4%10.4%0.2%18.0%48.1%
Luis ArraezPHIMIA4Official100%4.3320.0%3.8%1.3%1.4%3.8%0.4%3.8%65.4%
Alec BohmPHIMIA5Official100%4.2216.3%2.6%0.1%2.9%4.7%1.0%12.8%59.7%
Bryson StottPHIMIA6Official100%4.1114.3%3.7%1.3%2.4%6.3%0.3%16.0%55.6%
Brandon MarshPHIMIA7Official100%4.0018.3%2.7%0.3%4.5%4.5%0.3%19.7%49.6%
J.T. RealmutoPHIMIA8Official100%3.9013.3%2.9%0.1%2.9%4.3%1.6%20.9%54.0%
Justin CrawfordPHIMIA9Official100%3.7917.8%3.5%0.8%1.0%3.6%0.5%17.3%55.4%
Esteury RuizMIAPHI1Official100%4.6511.7%3.5%0.4%3.6%6.1%2.2%40.1%32.3%
Heriberto HernandezMIAPHI2Official100%4.5512.9%2.3%0.3%5.8%5.1%0.7%34.7%38.1%
Xavier EdwardsMIAPHI3Official100%4.4418.8%2.0%0.5%2.2%5.9%0.2%22.5%47.9%
Agustin RamirezMIAPHI4Official100%4.3315.0%3.2%0.5%2.1%6.2%1.1%30.6%41.2%
Otto LopezMIAPHI5Official100%4.2221.5%4.1%1.0%1.9%2.3%0.5%16.9%51.7%
Javier SanojaMIAPHI6Official100%4.1116.9%4.8%0.3%2.0%3.3%0.3%16.6%55.9%
Leo JimenezMIAPHI7Official100%4.0014.4%2.1%0.1%2.3%4.1%2.7%27.6%46.8%
Griffin ConineMIAPHI8Official100%3.9014.8%2.1%0.1%4.2%5.2%1.3%38.7%33.5%
Brian NavarretoMIAPHI9Official100%3.7913.1%2.8%0.2%2.3%3.8%2.0%35.6%40.3%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Cristopher SanchezPHILMIA25.26.116.3%3.0%0.3%2.7%4.1%1.1%29.2%43.3%
Janson JunkMIARPHI22.05.215.2%2.9%0.6%3.5%5.7%0.6%18.1%53.2%

PIT vs DET

PNC Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Jared TrioloPITDET1Official100%4.6520.6%6.6%0.2%1.1%7.7%1.3%13.2%49.3%
Esmerlyn ValdezPITDET2Official100%4.5512.3%8.8%0.9%5.8%13.8%0.9%26.2%31.3%
Bryan ReynoldsPITDET3Official100%4.4418.2%8.4%0.4%3.1%10.5%1.4%18.4%39.6%
Nick GonzalesPITDET4Official100%4.3323.8%4.9%0.3%1.2%6.3%1.7%13.6%48.3%
Brandon LowePITDET5Official100%4.2215.8%5.2%0.3%3.6%6.7%0.6%28.1%39.7%
Rafael FloresPITDET6Official100%4.1117.1%4.4%0.4%5.1%11.2%1.2%18.4%42.3%
Jake MangumPITDET7Official100%4.0022.1%5.6%0.5%1.4%4.7%3.5%14.3%47.8%
Nick YorkePITDET8Official100%3.9017.2%4.3%0.3%2.4%8.2%1.7%17.6%48.4%
Henry DavisPITDET9Official100%3.7915.3%3.5%0.2%3.1%6.0%2.0%18.0%51.9%
Gleyber TorresDETPIT1Official100%4.6521.1%4.4%0.1%2.3%10.3%0.6%14.9%46.2%
Kevin McGonigleDETPIT2Official100%4.5519.0%6.9%1.1%2.1%12.9%0.4%9.6%48.0%
Dillon DinglerDETPIT3Official100%4.4416.4%7.4%0.8%5.9%5.5%2.0%15.4%46.6%
Colt KeithDETPIT4Official100%4.3318.3%7.2%1.4%2.7%5.4%0.6%15.0%49.4%
Zach McKinstryDETPIT5Official100%4.2218.0%5.8%1.5%1.6%8.7%0.4%10.8%53.3%
Hao-Yu LeeDETPIT6Official100%4.1118.8%6.7%0.4%3.1%4.4%0.3%19.3%47.1%
Brett CallahanDETPIT7Official100%4.0016.2%6.4%1.5%2.9%7.9%0.8%18.1%46.2%
Max ClarkDETPIT8Official100%3.9017.1%5.9%2.2%2.2%6.2%1.1%18.3%47.0%
Javier BáezDETPIT9Official100%3.7918.6%7.8%0.2%1.9%4.2%0.7%15.1%51.3%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Carmen MlodzinskiPITRDET17.03.617.6%6.8%0.9%2.6%7.8%0.7%15.0%48.7%
Framber ValdezDETLPIT24.05.017.7%5.8%0.4%3.0%9.1%2.0%17.4%44.5%

BOS vs ARI

Fenway Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Nick SogardBOSARI1Official100%4.6512.4%2.4%0.6%1.2%13.5%0.7%18.4%50.8%
Ceddanne RafaelaBOSARI2Official100%4.5513.9%4.1%0.8%2.7%5.5%1.4%20.4%51.2%
Wilyer AbreuBOSARI3Official100%4.4412.8%3.8%0.7%2.8%12.6%0.8%15.7%50.7%
Willson ContrerasBOSARI4Official100%4.3312.9%2.7%0.7%4.3%14.8%3.2%17.9%43.4%
Adley RutschmanBOSARI5Official100%4.2212.1%3.1%0.3%2.0%12.6%0.6%12.9%56.3%
Caleb DurbinBOSARI6Official100%4.1113.6%3.5%0.2%2.2%7.9%2.1%10.5%60.0%
Andruw MonasterioBOSARI7Official100%4.0011.3%5.2%0.6%2.8%10.3%0.7%17.7%51.5%
Mickey GasperBOSARI8Official100%3.9012.7%2.5%0.6%1.2%8.1%0.9%20.5%53.5%
Eli WhiteBOSARI9Official100%3.7912.3%2.9%0.8%2.8%9.0%1.0%20.5%50.7%
Ildemaro VargasARIBOS1Official100%4.6516.0%3.3%0.9%2.7%4.5%0.5%7.8%64.2%
Corbin CarrollARIBOS2Official100%4.5512.1%3.2%3.1%2.4%10.1%1.2%19.4%48.6%
Gabriel MorenoARIBOS3Official100%4.4415.8%4.3%0.2%2.1%9.0%0.7%14.1%53.9%
Geraldo PerdomoARIBOS4Official100%4.3314.6%1.9%1.2%1.1%11.7%0.6%11.8%57.1%
Jordan LawlarARIBOS5Official100%4.2214.0%3.0%0.3%2.0%7.7%2.2%20.5%50.4%
Tim TawaARIBOS6Official100%4.1112.9%3.1%0.1%1.9%7.1%0.5%21.8%52.7%
Jose FernandezARIBOS7Official100%4.0014.9%2.8%0.1%1.4%4.8%0.7%20.9%54.3%
Lars NootbaarARIBOS8Official100%3.9012.0%2.2%0.3%1.6%11.1%0.5%21.0%51.2%
Ryan WaldschmidtARIBOS9Official100%3.7914.3%4.4%0.3%1.1%7.9%1.0%24.5%46.4%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Alec GamboaBOSLARI12.73.013.3%3.1%0.7%1.9%8.3%1.0%18.2%53.6%
Mitch BrattARILBOS21.14.912.4%3.3%0.5%2.3%11.0%1.3%17.0%52.2%

NYM vs SD

Citi Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
A.J. EwingNYMSD1Official100%4.6517.5%4.2%0.4%1.5%10.5%0.5%24.2%41.1%
Francisco LindorNYMSD2Official100%4.5514.8%2.6%2.4%2.6%11.6%1.1%19.6%45.2%
Bo BichetteNYMSD3Official100%4.4420.5%3.0%0.9%1.4%6.9%0.5%17.5%49.3%
Carson BengeNYMSD4Official100%4.3320.1%3.4%1.1%2.0%8.9%1.0%18.8%44.8%
Luis Robert Jr.NYMSD5Official100%4.2216.5%2.4%0.2%2.0%10.5%0.4%24.1%43.9%
Jared YoungNYMSD6Official100%4.1117.3%5.1%1.1%2.5%9.6%1.8%15.8%46.7%
Marcus SemienNYMSD7Official100%4.0015.1%2.6%0.4%2.6%8.1%0.4%21.5%49.4%
Jorge PolancoNYMSD8Official100%3.9013.2%3.9%0.3%1.5%8.7%0.5%23.4%48.5%
Francisco AlvarezNYMSD9Official100%3.7916.0%3.5%0.2%3.1%11.3%1.2%26.1%38.7%
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDNYM1Official100%4.6517.7%3.8%0.4%1.5%9.6%1.5%24.2%41.4%
Jake CronenworthSDNYM2Official100%4.5514.3%2.4%0.1%1.2%11.2%1.8%28.0%41.0%
Manny MachadoSDNYM3Official100%4.4411.2%2.9%0.1%3.3%11.4%0.5%28.9%41.7%
Ty FranceSDNYM4Official100%4.3315.7%4.2%0.6%3.5%5.7%3.9%27.5%39.0%
Jackson MerrillSDNYM5Official100%4.2213.9%3.2%0.6%2.8%7.7%0.8%30.1%40.8%
Luis CampusanoSDNYM6Official100%4.1114.8%5.9%0.2%2.3%12.1%1.9%27.1%35.7%
Gavin SheetsSDNYM7Official100%4.0010.7%3.6%0.1%3.2%13.1%1.5%26.4%41.5%
Xander BogaertsSDNYM8Official100%3.9014.3%1.7%0.1%1.9%13.1%1.2%25.2%42.6%
Luis RengifoSDNYM9Official100%3.7918.3%3.3%0.1%1.3%11.3%1.2%14.3%50.1%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Nolan McLeanNYMRSD23.45.313.7%3.6%0.2%2.1%10.3%1.8%26.9%41.4%
Walker BuehlerSDRNYM20.94.716.1%3.3%0.9%2.1%9.9%0.9%21.6%45.2%

KC vs ATH

Kauffman Stadium
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Carter JensenKCATH1Official100%4.659.9%4.1%0.5%4.6%6.2%0.5%33.7%40.6%
Bobby Witt Jr.KCATH2Official100%4.5515.6%4.3%0.5%3.2%5.6%0.4%22.3%48.1%
Jac CaglianoneKCATH3Official100%4.4414.0%3.8%1.6%4.6%4.4%0.7%28.9%41.9%
Maikel GarciaKCATH4Official100%4.3314.4%4.8%2.2%1.4%4.5%0.4%18.8%53.6%
Vinnie PasquantinoKCATH5Official100%4.2214.6%3.5%1.4%2.8%6.9%0.7%18.2%51.9%
Salvador PerezKCATH6Official100%4.1112.2%2.4%0.8%3.7%2.3%2.2%23.8%52.7%
Michael MasseyKCATH7Official100%4.0014.3%5.2%0.7%3.8%3.2%0.4%18.0%54.6%
Isaac CollinsKCATH8Official100%3.9012.2%4.1%2.0%1.9%7.7%1.3%25.3%45.5%
Kyle IsbelKCATH9Official100%3.7914.1%3.3%0.8%2.3%3.4%1.5%25.5%48.9%
Jeff McNeilATHKC1Official100%4.6516.3%3.9%0.2%1.7%2.3%1.1%13.2%61.2%
Henry BolteATHKC2Official100%4.5516.1%3.2%0.3%1.7%3.2%2.5%25.2%48.0%
Lawrence ButlerATHKC3Official100%4.4411.5%3.6%0.7%2.9%4.6%0.4%26.1%50.3%
Zack GelofATHKC4Official100%4.3313.1%4.3%0.8%4.7%2.7%1.4%25.0%47.9%
Carlos CortesATHKC5Official100%4.2213.2%4.9%1.3%2.7%4.0%1.1%14.9%57.8%
Tommy WhiteATHKC6Official100%4.1114.9%3.0%0.6%2.3%2.1%0.6%16.3%60.3%
Donovan WaltonATHKC7Official100%4.0013.4%5.6%2.1%2.1%4.0%1.6%18.0%53.2%
Alika WilliamsATHKC8Official100%3.9013.0%5.5%0.4%2.0%2.1%1.1%26.3%49.6%
Brian ServenATHKC9Official100%3.7912.4%3.1%0.9%3.3%2.9%0.9%22.7%53.7%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Michael WachaKCRATH24.96.213.2%4.2%1.0%2.7%3.0%1.0%21.1%53.7%
Mason BarnettATHRKC12.63.012.8%3.9%1.2%3.4%5.1%1.0%23.7%48.8%

CHC vs CWS

Wrigley Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCCWS1Official100%4.657.5%5.0%1.6%7.8%10.2%1.4%23.6%42.8%
Seiya SuzukiCHCCWS2Official100%4.558.9%4.7%0.1%5.7%9.4%0.9%24.5%45.7%
Michael BuschCHCCWS3Official100%4.448.9%3.6%0.4%3.8%12.1%1.7%20.9%48.6%
Alex BregmanCHCCWS4Official100%4.339.5%4.1%0.4%4.6%9.2%1.2%14.7%56.3%
Ian HappCHCCWS5Official100%4.226.8%4.0%0.7%5.7%12.6%1.0%26.9%42.2%
Nico HoernerCHCCWS6Official100%4.1111.2%4.5%0.4%1.9%7.8%1.2%7.5%65.5%
Pedro RamirezCHCCWS7Official100%4.009.8%5.8%1.0%2.6%7.9%0.5%18.8%53.5%
Michael ConfortoCHCCWS8Official100%3.906.5%5.0%0.2%5.6%10.7%0.6%27.4%44.0%
Carson KellyCHCCWS9Official100%3.7911.0%2.8%0.1%2.6%9.2%1.2%15.8%57.2%
Chase MeidrothCWSCHC1Official100%4.6516.9%5.8%0.1%4.5%8.6%0.5%19.7%43.9%
Munetaka MurakamiCWSCHC2Official100%4.5510.2%3.0%0.1%9.0%11.4%0.4%35.0%30.9%
Miguel VargasCWSCHC3Official100%4.4411.3%3.9%0.4%9.1%9.8%0.7%18.2%46.6%
Randal GrichukCWSCHC4Official100%4.3312.3%8.0%0.4%7.4%3.8%0.6%23.4%44.1%
Braden MontgomeryCWSCHC5Official100%4.2212.8%3.4%1.3%3.4%8.2%1.0%25.6%44.2%
Brenton DoyleCWSCHC6Official100%4.1114.9%4.2%0.2%3.5%6.3%0.4%27.9%42.7%
Sam AntonacciCWSCHC7Official100%4.0016.3%3.5%0.4%2.6%4.7%3.9%19.7%48.8%
Luisangel AcunaCWSCHC8Official100%3.9019.0%2.4%0.1%2.1%3.1%0.5%18.7%54.1%
Jake RogersCWSCHC9Official100%3.7913.0%3.3%0.6%4.8%8.3%0.7%27.2%42.1%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Shota ImanagaCHCLCWS22.95.214.2%3.8%0.4%5.8%6.6%0.9%23.7%44.7%
Luis CastilloCWSRCHC22.05.110.0%4.3%0.5%4.6%9.6%1.1%20.1%49.7%

MIN vs ATL

Target Field

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Bailey OberMINRATL22.85.115.8%6.3%0.3%2.7%6.6%0.9%15.9%51.5%
Martín PérezATLLMIN19.34.315.1%5.5%0.6%2.4%9.3%0.8%18.0%48.3%