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fangorithm

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MLB Player Projections

Thursday, August 20, 2026
144 projections · 16 pitchers
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In-house daily hitter projections from fangorithm — an honest expected per-plate-appearance outcome vector (1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, HBP, K, out in play) shown as percentages, plus the expected volume for each hitter on the slate.

CIN vs STL

Great American Ball Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Elly De La CruzCINSTL1Official100%4.6513.9%4.4%0.6%4.1%11.6%0.2%21.1%44.1%
Sal StewartCINSTL2Official100%4.5514.4%5.3%0.0%5.4%9.2%0.3%15.8%49.5%
J.J. BledayCINSTL3Official100%4.4411.5%4.4%0.2%5.2%14.5%0.4%15.5%48.4%
Tyler StephensonCINSTL4Official100%4.3313.9%5.2%0.0%4.6%8.9%0.4%21.0%45.9%
Matt McLainCINSTL5Official100%4.2210.5%6.3%0.0%3.0%10.2%0.6%22.5%46.9%
Michael TogliaCINSTL6Official100%4.1112.3%6.4%0.2%2.7%8.7%0.5%24.0%45.2%
Dane MyersCINSTL7Official100%4.0016.4%3.3%0.1%2.3%11.9%0.5%20.0%45.6%
Hector RodriguezCINSTL8Official100%3.9012.4%4.7%0.2%2.5%9.7%0.5%17.6%52.4%
Ke'Bryan HayesCINSTL9Official100%3.7912.4%2.1%0.4%3.3%6.6%0.5%15.2%59.5%
JJ WetherholtSTLCIN1Official100%4.6516.0%3.0%0.0%3.4%12.5%3.4%13.4%48.2%
Ivan HerreraSTLCIN2Official100%4.5515.3%4.4%0.2%3.0%9.6%5.5%15.1%47.0%
Alec BurlesonSTLCIN3Official100%4.4415.9%7.4%0.2%5.4%10.3%1.4%13.2%46.2%
Jordan WalkerSTLCIN4Official100%4.3317.2%5.8%0.0%5.3%7.6%1.1%20.7%42.1%
Joshua BaezSTLCIN5Official100%4.2213.3%3.7%0.2%4.8%9.6%1.5%21.0%45.8%
Nathan ChurchSTLCIN6Official100%4.1116.5%3.5%0.2%3.4%6.8%1.0%16.5%52.2%
Bryan TorresSTLCIN7Official100%4.0014.7%4.5%0.2%3.8%10.6%1.3%18.2%46.6%
Blaze JordanSTLCIN8Official100%3.9016.9%4.0%0.6%2.1%5.4%0.7%14.7%55.5%
Jimmy CrooksSTLCIN9Official100%3.7912.4%4.4%0.1%3.7%8.0%2.5%26.5%42.6%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Brady SingerCINRSTL23.04.915.3%4.4%0.2%4.1%9.8%1.9%16.6%47.6%
Michael McGreevySTLRCIN22.35.013.3%4.9%0.2%3.8%9.9%0.4%18.6%48.9%

CLE vs SF

Progressive Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Steven KwanCLESF1Official100%4.6516.3%3.5%0.3%0.4%13.7%0.7%11.8%53.2%
Travis BazzanaCLESF2Official100%4.5511.8%4.7%0.6%1.4%12.4%0.8%24.8%43.3%
José RamírezCLESF3Official100%4.4411.5%4.7%0.1%1.1%14.3%0.5%17.5%50.5%
Nate LoweCLESF4Official100%4.3312.0%6.6%0.1%2.1%10.2%0.3%29.2%39.5%
Angel GenaoCLESF5Official100%4.2215.2%3.9%0.2%1.3%10.0%1.1%16.2%52.0%
Angel MartinezCLESF6Official100%4.1110.4%5.5%0.2%2.0%3.9%1.5%29.8%46.6%
Patrick BaileyCLESF7Official100%4.0011.4%2.8%0.4%1.2%7.2%0.3%30.0%46.7%
Petey HalpinCLESF8Official100%3.9013.1%4.0%0.7%1.1%4.3%1.1%25.5%50.1%
Brayan RocchioCLESF9Official100%3.7914.6%4.1%0.3%1.1%8.2%1.6%17.8%52.2%
Drew GilbertSFCLE1Official100%4.6513.1%3.7%0.8%1.5%8.6%1.4%26.3%44.6%
Rafael DeversSFCLE2Official100%4.559.0%6.5%0.2%3.3%8.3%0.2%38.1%34.5%
Willy AdamesSFCLE3Official100%4.4410.1%5.3%0.1%2.4%5.5%0.4%40.4%35.7%
Bryce EldridgeSFCLE4Official100%4.3310.2%4.2%0.1%2.2%11.2%0.2%39.3%32.5%
Jung Hoo LeeSFCLE5Official100%4.2216.4%6.6%0.7%1.5%4.0%0.7%16.0%54.1%
Osleivis BasabeSFCLE6Official100%4.1112.3%3.6%0.1%2.4%4.0%1.2%32.1%44.3%
Turner HillSFCLE7Official100%4.0011.2%4.7%0.2%1.7%7.6%0.8%35.0%38.8%
Drew CavanaughSFCLE8Official100%3.9013.4%2.5%0.1%0.9%9.7%0.5%34.2%38.8%
Christian KossSFCLE9Official100%3.7911.7%4.3%0.1%0.9%4.2%0.9%37.6%40.2%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Gavin WilliamsCLERSF23.65.911.0%4.3%0.2%1.9%6.8%0.7%34.8%40.3%
Landen RouppSFRCLE22.75.412.0%4.5%0.4%1.3%9.9%0.8%24.0%47.1%

TB vs TOR

Tropicana Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Chandler SimpsonTBTOR1Official100%4.6524.1%3.1%0.8%0.6%6.0%0.2%5.0%60.1%
Junior CamineroTBTOR2Official100%4.5515.2%4.0%0.1%7.1%11.2%0.3%13.2%48.8%
Jonathan ArandaTBTOR3Official100%4.4418.3%5.2%0.1%3.5%12.3%0.9%14.0%45.6%
Yandy DíazTBTOR4Official100%4.3320.9%4.6%0.2%3.4%9.2%1.4%8.9%51.4%
Cedric MullinsTBTOR5Official100%4.2213.3%3.2%0.6%4.1%9.8%1.1%13.5%54.5%
Jonny DelucaTBTOR6Official100%4.1116.2%7.2%0.1%3.9%5.8%0.3%13.2%53.4%
Richie PalaciosTBTOR7Official100%4.0015.4%4.6%0.4%2.1%14.1%0.8%11.4%51.1%
Jorge MateoTBTOR8Official100%3.9016.1%5.2%0.1%3.6%8.3%0.4%18.9%47.2%
Nick FortesTBTOR9Official100%3.7918.4%5.8%0.1%2.2%4.0%1.4%8.6%59.5%
Charles McAdooTORTB1Official100%4.6514.9%4.8%0.3%3.5%7.4%0.8%24.5%43.7%
Daz CameronTORTB2Official100%4.5513.9%6.1%0.5%3.1%7.7%1.1%22.3%45.3%
Alejandro KirkTORTB3Official100%4.4416.6%4.2%0.2%3.1%7.6%0.5%17.5%50.4%
George SpringerTORTB4Official100%4.3313.0%5.4%0.9%2.7%9.3%1.2%19.2%48.2%
Kazuma OkamotoTORTB5Official100%4.2213.0%4.7%0.1%5.1%8.0%1.1%29.8%38.3%
Andrés GiménezTORTB6Official100%4.1115.2%4.6%0.3%1.9%3.6%3.1%19.4%52.0%
Ernie ClementTORTB7Official100%4.0018.0%5.3%0.5%2.6%4.1%0.5%10.2%58.8%
Myles StrawTORTB8Official100%3.9012.4%5.7%0.4%1.6%7.2%0.5%18.5%53.6%
Nathan LukesTORTB9Official100%3.7914.7%3.6%0.1%1.7%5.6%1.9%20.5%51.8%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Ian SeymourTBLTOR11.62.713.7%5.1%0.4%3.2%7.2%1.0%20.1%49.2%
Shane BieberTORRTB21.84.716.9%4.7%0.3%3.3%9.0%0.7%12.1%53.1%

KC vs ATH

Kauffman Stadium
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Nick LoftinKCATH1Official100%4.6513.4%5.3%1.0%1.5%5.8%1.8%21.8%49.4%
Bobby Witt Jr.KCATH2Official100%4.5516.9%6.2%0.8%2.9%5.8%0.5%19.7%47.2%
Maikel GarciaKCATH3Official100%4.4416.4%4.3%1.2%1.6%5.7%0.4%20.3%50.1%
Salvador PerezKCATH4Official100%4.3312.4%5.0%0.4%3.0%2.3%2.0%24.6%50.3%
Vinnie PasquantinoKCATH5Official100%4.2213.7%2.9%1.5%1.7%5.3%0.8%28.3%45.8%
Isaac CollinsKCATH6Official100%4.1112.3%4.8%1.0%1.7%5.0%1.6%30.3%43.3%
Tyler TolbertKCATH7Official100%4.0016.2%4.8%0.3%2.5%6.2%0.6%22.6%46.7%
Michael MasseyKCATH8Official100%3.9014.5%4.9%0.9%3.0%2.8%0.3%28.2%45.4%
Luke MaileKCATH9Official100%3.7912.9%3.9%0.6%3.1%4.0%0.9%36.3%38.3%
Henry BolteATHKC1Official100%4.6518.3%2.8%0.2%1.5%3.8%2.5%21.3%49.5%
Jeff McNeilATHKC2Official100%4.5517.8%3.7%0.2%1.8%2.8%1.0%10.7%62.0%
Zack GelofATHKC3Official100%4.4415.0%3.9%0.6%4.4%3.6%1.2%21.7%49.7%
Lawrence ButlerATHKC4Official100%4.3313.3%3.2%0.5%2.7%6.0%0.3%22.5%51.5%
Max MuncyATHKC5Official100%4.2212.9%3.5%1.1%3.1%2.8%1.4%30.2%45.0%
Carlos CortesATHKC6Official100%4.1114.4%4.4%0.9%2.5%4.9%1.0%12.5%59.4%
Brian ServenATHKC7Official100%4.0013.6%2.8%0.6%4.0%3.5%0.8%17.9%56.8%
Donovan WaltonATHKC8Official100%3.9015.0%5.3%1.4%1.9%5.1%1.4%14.9%54.9%
Darell HernaizATHKC9Official100%3.7915.4%3.0%0.3%1.3%4.5%0.8%15.8%58.8%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Randy DobnakKCRATH22.05.315.0%3.6%0.7%2.6%4.3%0.9%18.0%54.9%
Gage JumpATHLKC22.45.314.4%4.6%0.8%2.6%5.3%1.0%23.8%47.6%

MIL vs SEA

American Family Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Brice TurangMILSEA1Official100%4.6515.1%5.3%1.0%4.4%10.1%0.2%23.7%40.3%
Jackson ChourioMILSEA2Official100%4.5517.2%4.8%0.1%4.6%5.5%0.5%23.8%43.4%
Jake BauersMILSEA3Official100%4.4415.1%3.3%0.6%5.4%10.5%0.6%26.0%38.6%
Gary SánchezMILSEA4Official100%4.3311.3%3.6%0.5%5.0%13.0%1.0%20.8%44.8%
Christian YelichMILSEA5Official100%4.2214.1%4.7%0.6%3.1%7.1%0.8%26.8%42.8%
Joey OrtizMILSEA6Official100%4.1116.8%3.8%1.0%2.6%7.2%0.3%17.5%50.7%
Garrett MitchellMILSEA7Official100%4.0014.0%5.6%0.8%2.8%8.4%0.5%32.5%35.3%
David HamiltonMILSEA8Official100%3.9017.2%2.8%1.4%1.8%7.5%0.3%21.3%47.7%
Luis LaraMILSEA9Official100%3.7916.1%4.8%0.8%2.2%8.0%0.4%19.3%48.4%
Brendan DonovanSEAMIL1Official100%4.6513.7%3.4%0.7%2.5%6.9%2.8%21.1%48.9%
Randy ArozarenaSEAMIL2Official100%4.5515.1%4.7%0.3%3.6%7.0%3.1%22.4%43.7%
Dominic CanzoneSEAMIL3Official100%4.4412.4%3.9%0.3%4.7%9.7%1.8%23.7%43.4%
Julio RodriguezSEAMIL4Official100%4.3313.7%2.7%0.1%5.3%7.9%1.2%22.7%46.5%
Josh NaylorSEAMIL5Official100%4.2217.7%3.8%0.1%1.9%5.3%1.8%16.6%52.8%
Taylor WardSEAMIL6Official100%4.1114.0%3.1%0.5%2.4%13.7%1.0%21.8%43.4%
Cole YoungSEAMIL7Official100%4.0015.7%2.0%0.9%3.0%4.7%2.1%21.4%50.1%
Jhonny PeredaSEAMIL8Official100%3.9015.1%2.3%0.4%3.9%6.8%1.9%19.9%49.8%
Brock RoddenSEAMIL9Official100%3.7913.2%4.0%1.3%3.2%7.7%1.3%29.3%40.0%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Robert GasserMILLSEA22.35.114.1%3.7%0.6%3.8%7.2%2.0%21.2%47.4%
George KirbySEARMIL24.25.415.8%4.1%1.0%3.5%7.6%0.5%23.6%44.0%

BAL vs NYY

Oriole Park at Camden Yards
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Jackson HollidayBALNYY1Official100%4.6514.6%4.0%0.9%2.2%9.2%0.3%24.8%44.0%
Pete AlonsoBALNYY2Official100%4.5514.7%4.7%0.1%5.0%8.6%1.1%26.2%39.7%
Gunnar HendersonBALNYY3Official100%4.4413.8%4.4%0.8%3.3%6.7%1.1%24.5%45.5%
Samuel BasalloBALNYY4Official100%4.3314.5%4.6%0.7%5.0%6.6%0.6%24.8%43.2%
Christian Encarnacion-StrandBALNYY5Official100%4.2214.3%5.7%0.3%3.9%4.2%0.9%24.9%45.7%
Dylan BeaversBALNYY6Official100%4.1114.4%6.7%0.2%1.9%7.0%0.7%28.7%40.4%
Leody TaverasBALNYY7Official100%4.0014.2%5.3%3.0%2.1%6.3%0.4%25.0%43.7%
Colton CowserBALNYY8Official100%3.9014.5%2.0%0.2%3.5%9.0%0.4%31.3%39.1%
Carlos NarvaezBALNYY9Official100%3.7912.5%2.9%0.2%1.4%4.8%1.6%36.2%40.4%
Trent GrishamNYYBAL1Official100%4.6512.1%5.0%1.0%3.6%12.6%0.2%17.6%48.0%
Ben RiceNYYBAL2Official100%4.5511.8%5.4%1.0%5.4%13.8%0.5%23.7%38.5%
Heliot RamosNYYBAL3Official100%4.4416.2%4.7%2.0%2.3%5.9%1.0%26.0%41.9%
Luis Garcia Jr.NYYBAL4Official100%4.3316.2%6.4%3.4%4.4%4.4%0.2%15.6%49.4%
Jasrado Chisholm Jr.NYYBAL5Official100%4.2214.2%3.4%0.8%3.3%12.0%0.3%28.0%38.0%
George Lombard Jr.NYYBAL6Official100%4.1117.1%3.8%0.6%2.5%10.0%0.6%21.7%43.6%
Spencer JonesNYYBAL7Official100%4.0013.4%4.5%0.9%2.2%9.9%0.5%35.6%33.0%
Austin WellsNYYBAL8Official100%3.9013.8%2.7%0.2%2.5%12.5%0.5%24.2%43.6%
Jose CaballeroNYYBAL9Official100%3.7917.1%4.1%0.2%2.9%7.2%1.4%21.0%46.2%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Kyle BradishBALRNYY23.25.114.5%4.5%1.4%3.0%10.2%0.5%23.6%42.4%
Gerrit ColeNYYRBAL23.15.414.0%4.6%0.7%3.1%6.5%0.7%27.6%42.9%

TEX vs WAS

Globe Life Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Wyatt LangfordTEXWAS1Official100%4.6513.7%2.4%1.3%3.9%7.7%0.8%22.3%48.0%
Corey SeagerTEXWAS2Official100%4.5511.4%1.9%0.2%2.9%11.8%0.7%25.7%45.5%
Jake BurgerTEXWAS3Official100%4.4413.2%2.4%0.1%4.6%8.3%0.8%25.2%45.3%
Brandon NimmoTEXWAS4Official100%4.3316.2%3.5%0.9%3.0%7.1%1.3%18.9%49.1%
Ezequiel DuranTEXWAS5Official100%4.2214.4%3.1%0.7%2.4%9.7%0.9%21.6%47.2%
Justin FoscueTEXWAS6Official100%4.1113.0%2.9%1.2%4.5%8.8%1.1%22.7%45.7%
Danny JansenTEXWAS7Official100%4.0010.6%2.6%0.7%2.5%8.4%2.1%27.5%45.5%
Cody FreemanTEXWAS8Official100%3.9014.5%1.9%0.5%2.3%8.5%1.0%21.8%49.5%
Evan CarterTEXWAS9Official100%3.7911.0%1.5%0.6%1.8%9.2%0.9%27.1%48.0%
Daylen LileWASTEX1Official100%4.6513.3%3.0%1.3%4.1%3.7%0.6%23.4%50.6%
Abimelec OrtizWASTEX2Official100%4.5513.0%2.5%0.3%7.0%4.6%0.5%26.3%45.7%
Andres ChaparroWASTEX3Official100%4.4411.4%3.8%0.2%5.5%5.9%1.2%29.8%42.1%
Jose TenaWASTEX4Official100%4.3312.7%2.7%0.7%3.6%5.6%0.6%35.6%38.6%
Brady HouseWASTEX5Official100%4.2212.5%1.9%0.1%3.6%3.8%0.9%36.5%40.7%
Keibert RuizWASTEX6Official100%4.1115.9%4.4%0.1%3.0%3.8%0.6%13.5%58.7%
Dylan CrewsWASTEX7Official100%4.0012.4%1.9%0.1%3.0%3.7%1.5%30.5%46.8%
Nasim NunezWASTEX8Official100%3.9016.2%0.8%1.1%0.8%6.4%0.2%26.8%47.7%
Andrew PinckneyWASTEX9Official100%3.7912.8%2.2%1.1%3.8%5.8%0.9%28.1%45.3%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Jacob deGromTEXRWAS21.75.413.2%2.5%0.5%3.8%4.8%0.6%28.4%46.3%
Andrew AlvarezWASLTEX18.64.412.9%2.5%0.8%2.9%8.9%1.1%23.4%47.5%

HOU vs LAA

Daikin Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
LaMonte Wade JrHOULAA1Official100%4.6512.6%4.2%0.1%3.7%18.2%0.7%19.2%41.3%
Yordan AlvarezHOULAA2Official100%4.5513.6%5.5%0.0%9.3%19.4%1.2%14.5%36.6%
Isaac ParedesHOULAA3Official100%4.4412.5%3.8%0.1%5.3%14.9%3.5%12.4%47.5%
Jose AltuveHOULAA4Official100%4.3313.9%4.5%0.5%5.0%10.7%0.6%19.1%45.8%
Daulton VarshoHOULAA5Official100%4.2214.0%4.3%0.3%2.9%13.2%0.6%17.8%47.0%
Taylor TrammellHOULAA6Official100%4.1112.0%3.8%0.5%5.0%12.4%1.5%29.8%34.9%
Cam SmithHOULAA7Official100%4.0012.7%3.9%0.5%5.0%10.4%1.4%22.7%43.3%
Nick AllenHOULAA8Official100%3.9015.6%3.0%0.1%2.9%10.2%0.8%20.6%46.8%
Christian VázquezHOULAA9Official100%3.7913.1%2.8%0.1%4.9%12.6%0.4%17.9%48.1%
Wade MecklerLAAHOU1Official100%4.6517.1%4.0%0.0%2.5%12.9%0.8%21.2%41.4%
Mike TroutLAAHOU2Official100%4.5511.0%3.2%0.0%5.5%20.3%1.8%25.4%32.8%
Nolan SchanuelLAAHOU3Official100%4.4416.7%5.0%0.0%2.4%13.8%1.3%12.7%48.1%
Zach NetoLAAHOU4Official100%4.339.9%4.2%0.2%5.0%12.4%2.1%32.0%34.3%
Moises BallesterosLAAHOU5Official100%4.2213.0%2.6%0.0%3.9%13.9%0.5%20.7%45.3%
Vaughn GrissomLAAHOU6Official100%4.1112.7%5.0%0.0%4.2%8.1%1.8%21.5%46.7%
Josh LoweLAAHOU7Official100%4.0012.1%2.5%0.0%5.7%10.7%0.7%27.6%40.6%
Tyler HeinemanLAAHOU8Official100%3.9012.8%2.4%0.3%2.2%7.7%2.9%17.8%53.9%
Adam FrazierLAAHOU9Official100%3.7912.6%5.5%0.1%2.4%11.1%0.9%28.9%38.5%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Peter LambertHOURLAA23.25.012.7%3.8%0.1%3.8%13.3%1.4%23.6%41.4%
Grayson RodriguezLAARHOU21.24.412.9%4.3%0.3%4.9%14.2%1.4%18.6%43.4%