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fangorithm

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MLB Player Projections

Thursday, July 30, 2026
117 projections · 14 pitchers
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In-house daily hitter projections from fangorithm — an honest expected per-plate-appearance outcome vector (1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, HBP, K, out in play) shown as percentages, plus the expected volume for each hitter on the slate.

TB vs TEX

Tropicana Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Yandy DíazTBTEX1Official100%4.6520.3%5.0%0.4%3.1%7.7%1.9%11.3%50.3%
Jonathan ArandaTBTEX2Official100%4.5517.4%5.4%0.1%3.8%10.6%1.3%18.4%43.0%
Junior CamineroTBTEX3Official100%4.4415.2%4.4%0.2%6.6%8.9%0.4%17.0%47.2%
Cedric MullinsTBTEX4Official100%4.3313.2%2.5%0.6%4.4%7.6%1.2%18.1%52.5%
Jonny DelucaTBTEX5Official100%4.2216.0%6.9%0.1%3.3%4.6%0.4%17.0%51.6%
Victor Mesa Jr.TBTEX6Official100%4.1113.8%2.6%0.2%5.6%10.1%0.5%21.1%46.2%
Ben WilliamsonTBTEX7Official100%4.0018.5%3.8%0.3%1.3%8.0%0.8%15.8%51.5%
Taylor WallsTBTEX8Official100%3.9014.7%5.4%0.7%0.8%9.7%1.0%22.7%45.0%
Hunter FeducciaTBTEX9Official100%3.7915.0%5.0%0.8%2.0%8.7%0.8%23.1%44.6%
Wyatt LangfordTEXTB1Official100%4.6514.8%4.8%0.9%4.2%6.2%0.5%20.2%48.3%
Ezequiel DuranTEXTB2Official100%4.5516.0%5.4%0.4%2.6%8.8%0.5%18.9%47.4%
Brandon NimmoTEXTB3Official100%4.4416.5%7.7%0.5%2.4%6.6%1.3%16.5%48.4%
Jake BurgerTEXTB4Official100%4.3313.4%5.2%0.1%4.1%8.4%0.8%22.1%46.0%
Justin FoscueTEXTB5Official100%4.2214.1%6.5%0.1%4.3%8.7%1.1%20.0%45.2%
Cameron CauleyTEXTB6Official100%4.1114.0%4.7%1.0%2.7%8.6%1.4%18.9%48.6%
Nicky LopezTEXTB7Official100%4.0020.2%2.7%0.1%1.3%5.4%1.2%13.0%55.9%
Austin WynnsTEXTB8Official100%3.9014.4%3.1%0.2%2.2%7.5%0.8%17.5%54.4%
Alejandro OsunaTEXTB9Official100%3.7919.1%2.9%0.1%1.2%6.6%2.5%12.8%54.9%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Shane McClanahanTBLTEX21.14.815.4%4.9%0.4%2.6%7.5%1.0%17.9%50.4%
Cole WinnTEXRTB6.01.415.7%4.7%0.4%3.3%8.0%1.0%18.7%48.3%

MIN vs KC

Target Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Austin MartinMINKC1Official100%4.6517.0%8.4%0.1%1.0%12.5%1.4%14.9%44.7%
Ryan JeffersMINKC2Official100%4.5517.6%6.8%0.8%3.0%12.7%0.5%12.9%45.7%
Royce LewisMINKC3Official100%4.4415.2%7.9%0.3%2.5%9.1%0.7%19.8%44.4%
Josh BellMINKC4Official100%4.3317.1%8.0%0.2%2.2%6.0%0.5%19.4%46.4%
Kody ClemensMINKC5Official100%4.2215.1%6.1%1.9%3.6%5.6%1.0%19.8%46.9%
Luke KeaschallMINKC6Official100%4.1119.3%5.3%0.3%1.0%8.8%1.5%15.4%48.4%
Brooks LeeMINKC7Official100%4.0016.7%4.9%0.6%2.4%6.3%0.7%17.5%50.9%
Alex JacksonMINKC8Official100%3.9018.2%6.2%0.3%1.9%4.5%1.2%26.4%41.2%
Ryan KreidlerMINKC9Official100%3.7916.2%7.2%1.0%2.0%8.1%0.7%16.4%48.4%
Carter JensenKCMIN1Official100%4.6513.1%8.2%0.1%3.4%7.9%0.3%23.0%44.0%
John RaveKCMIN2Official100%4.5513.5%8.0%0.8%2.9%8.1%0.8%21.6%44.4%
Jac CaglianoneKCMIN3Official100%4.4415.8%7.1%0.6%3.4%6.4%0.6%21.4%44.7%
Salvador PerezKCMIN4Official100%4.3314.8%4.3%0.3%3.1%3.2%1.8%17.1%55.4%
Michael MasseyKCMIN5Official100%4.2217.1%9.3%0.1%2.4%4.6%0.3%11.4%54.9%
Nick LoftinKCMIN6Official100%4.1114.2%10.2%0.3%2.3%6.4%1.4%11.2%54.0%
Isaac CollinsKCMIN7Official100%4.0015.4%7.4%0.4%1.6%10.4%1.1%17.4%46.5%
Josh RojasKCMIN8Official100%3.9017.8%7.6%0.2%2.3%4.6%0.6%13.3%53.6%
Tyler TolbertKCMIN9Official100%3.7918.8%4.5%0.2%3.2%6.0%0.6%13.6%53.1%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Bailey OberMINRKC22.65.015.7%7.6%0.3%2.7%5.9%0.9%16.1%50.7%
Noah CameronKCLMIN23.35.016.9%7.0%0.6%2.4%7.5%0.8%18.4%46.5%

CWS vs NYY

Rate Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Chase MeidrothCWSNYY1Official100%4.6517.4%7.0%0.1%1.7%7.4%0.5%25.9%40.0%
Munetaka MurakamiCWSNYY2Official100%4.5510.7%3.7%0.1%4.2%13.6%0.4%39.7%27.7%
Miguel VargasCWSNYY3Official100%4.4412.4%5.3%0.3%4.3%11.6%0.7%20.9%44.4%
Randal GrichukCWSNYY4Official100%4.3312.0%7.1%0.3%4.2%4.5%0.7%29.7%41.4%
Colson MontgomeryCWSNYY5Official100%4.2212.0%5.7%0.1%4.5%5.8%2.0%35.4%34.5%
Everson PereiraCWSNYY6Official100%4.1113.6%4.8%0.2%2.7%7.5%1.0%34.1%36.0%
Braden MontgomeryCWSNYY7Official100%4.0013.5%5.7%1.0%1.6%7.2%1.1%27.9%42.0%
Luisangel AcunaCWSNYY8Official100%3.9019.0%3.5%0.1%1.1%3.9%0.6%21.2%50.7%
Edgar QueroCWSNYY9Official100%3.7914.3%1.9%0.1%2.0%7.1%1.1%26.0%47.6%
Trent GrishamNYYCWS1Official100%4.6510.8%5.1%0.5%2.7%12.2%0.4%20.4%48.0%
Ben RiceNYYCWS2Official100%4.5510.9%6.2%0.4%5.3%11.2%0.7%28.7%36.6%
Jasson DominguezNYYCWS3Official100%4.4412.8%5.3%0.1%2.6%5.1%1.2%25.0%47.9%
Paul GoldschmidtNYYCWS4Official100%4.3313.6%3.7%0.2%3.4%5.4%0.9%31.0%41.8%
Spencer JonesNYYCWS5Official100%4.2211.9%4.2%0.1%2.2%9.3%0.7%41.3%30.1%
Jasrado Chisholm Jr.NYYCWS6Official100%4.1112.0%4.2%0.3%3.3%9.7%0.6%33.6%36.4%
Anthony VolpeNYYCWS7Official100%4.0013.3%5.3%0.3%0.9%11.3%0.5%29.0%39.3%
Ryan McMahonNYYCWS8Official100%3.9011.7%4.6%0.1%3.1%6.5%0.6%35.8%37.6%
Austin WellsNYYCWS9Official100%3.7911.5%1.8%0.1%2.3%11.0%0.8%31.8%40.6%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Sean BurkeCWSRNYY22.85.312.2%4.8%0.4%2.7%8.6%1.0%30.2%40.3%
Ryan WeathersNYYLCWS22.65.214.3%4.6%0.3%3.1%7.3%0.9%29.0%40.6%

STL vs CHC

Busch Stadium
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
JJ WetherholtSTLCHC1Official100%4.6519.4%2.7%0.1%2.4%7.9%2.9%9.5%55.2%
Jordan WalkerSTLCHC2Official100%4.5519.3%5.9%0.1%3.5%6.1%0.8%15.1%49.2%
Alec BurlesonSTLCHC3Official100%4.4419.1%7.0%0.2%2.7%7.1%1.0%9.0%53.8%
Ivan HerreraSTLCHC4Official100%4.3318.2%4.2%0.2%1.7%7.1%4.8%10.6%53.1%
Lars NootbaarSTLCHC5Official100%4.2217.5%5.6%0.5%1.5%11.2%0.4%12.1%51.0%
Masyn WinnSTLCHC6Official100%4.1119.8%2.8%0.5%1.1%7.1%1.7%11.9%55.1%
Bryan TorresSTLCHC7Official100%4.0017.1%4.9%0.3%2.3%7.8%1.0%13.2%53.4%
Blaze JordanSTLCHC8Official100%3.9017.3%5.0%0.5%1.4%4.7%0.5%8.7%61.7%
Nathan ChurchSTLCHC9Official100%3.7917.6%3.9%0.4%2.1%4.7%0.9%12.3%58.0%
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCSTL1Official100%4.6517.4%6.3%1.1%3.6%9.4%1.9%16.7%43.5%
Seiya SuzukiCHCSTL2Official100%4.5519.1%5.3%0.1%2.5%9.2%1.2%17.6%45.2%
Michael BuschCHCSTL3Official100%4.4417.2%4.8%0.3%1.8%12.1%1.9%15.1%46.8%
Alex BregmanCHCSTL4Official100%4.3319.0%5.0%0.2%1.4%8.5%1.5%10.1%54.1%
Ian HappCHCSTL5Official100%4.2215.1%5.6%0.5%2.7%12.6%1.4%20.0%42.1%
Nico HoernerCHCSTL6Official100%4.1120.3%5.0%0.2%0.7%7.1%1.1%4.7%60.7%
Michael ConfortoCHCSTL7Official100%4.0014.7%7.2%0.1%2.6%10.9%0.8%18.7%45.0%
Carson KellyCHCSTL8Official100%3.9020.7%3.6%0.1%1.1%8.6%1.4%10.8%53.7%
Dansby SwansonCHCSTL9Official100%3.7916.3%4.6%0.4%1.8%10.8%0.5%13.0%52.6%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Andre PallanteSTLRCHC23.24.918.0%5.2%0.3%2.0%9.4%1.4%13.8%49.9%
Javier AssadCHCRSTL16.93.718.0%4.6%0.3%2.2%7.2%1.3%11.0%55.4%

CIN vs PIT

Great American Ball Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Elly De La CruzCINPIT1Official100%4.6513.2%4.8%0.4%3.7%17.2%0.9%27.5%32.3%
Sal StewartCINPIT2Official100%4.5511.9%5.8%0.0%4.5%16.5%0.8%22.0%38.5%
J.J. BledayCINPIT3Official100%4.4410.2%4.6%0.2%4.8%21.3%1.3%20.4%37.2%
Tyler StephensonCINPIT4Official100%4.3313.0%5.2%0.0%3.3%14.6%1.0%27.0%35.8%
Nate LoweCINPIT5Official100%4.2211.8%6.2%0.0%4.4%16.1%0.6%26.8%34.1%
Eugenio SuárezCINPIT6Official100%4.1111.0%4.1%0.0%4.1%13.3%1.1%36.0%30.3%
Dane MyersCINPIT7Official100%4.0014.5%3.5%0.1%1.9%20.0%2.0%25.5%32.6%
Noelvi MarteCINPIT8Official100%3.9012.4%5.2%0.1%3.3%12.0%0.8%21.9%44.3%
Matt McLainCINPIT9Official100%3.799.3%5.8%0.0%2.3%17.4%1.5%28.5%35.2%
Jake MangumPITCIN1Official100%4.6521.7%4.5%0.3%1.3%7.7%1.6%14.2%48.7%
Brandon LowePITCIN2Official100%4.5512.4%6.6%0.2%5.4%14.7%0.6%19.9%40.2%
Bryan ReynoldsPITCIN3Official100%4.4412.8%5.7%0.4%2.9%20.3%1.8%19.2%37.0%
Esmerlyn ValdezPITCIN4Official100%4.3310.9%4.7%0.2%6.6%16.6%0.9%30.2%29.8%
Ryan O'HearnPITCIN5Official100%4.2216.5%4.5%0.0%4.7%11.9%1.1%17.8%43.5%
Nick GonzalesPITCIN6Official100%4.1121.7%5.0%0.2%1.9%9.6%1.4%14.2%45.9%
Endy RodriguezPITCIN7Official100%4.0013.7%5.6%0.1%4.0%20.7%0.5%17.1%38.5%
Jacob GonzalezPITCIN8Official100%3.9014.9%4.3%0.1%3.6%10.3%0.9%17.6%48.2%
Jhostynxon GarciaPITCIN9Official100%3.7914.3%4.5%0.2%2.3%10.1%1.5%20.9%46.3%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Rhett LowderCINRPIT20.14.115.2%5.2%0.2%3.4%13.9%1.1%18.5%42.5%
Yohan RamirezPITRCIN7.31.511.2%5.0%0.1%3.5%17.9%1.5%25.7%35.1%

NYM vs MIA

Citi Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
A.J. EwingNYMMIA1Official100%4.6515.6%4.1%0.4%1.9%10.7%0.8%30.3%36.4%
Francisco LindorNYMMIA2Official100%4.5512.2%2.6%2.4%2.4%10.8%1.4%23.3%45.0%
Bo BichetteNYMMIA3Official100%4.4417.0%3.2%0.4%1.5%6.9%0.8%23.0%47.2%
Carson BengeNYMMIA4Official100%4.3316.6%3.5%0.9%1.9%8.9%1.3%24.9%42.1%
Luis Robert Jr.NYMMIA5Official100%4.2212.9%3.2%0.2%2.1%12.6%0.7%26.6%41.7%
Brett BatyNYMMIA6Official100%4.1114.2%3.3%0.5%1.6%9.8%1.0%30.5%39.0%
Marcus SemienNYMMIA7Official100%4.0012.8%2.4%0.3%2.7%7.8%0.6%28.2%45.2%
Jorge PolancoNYMMIA8Official100%3.9011.1%4.1%0.2%1.4%9.0%0.8%28.6%44.8%
Francisco AlvarezNYMMIA9Official100%3.7914.4%3.0%0.1%3.3%9.8%1.3%31.1%36.8%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Nolan McLeanNYMRMIA23.35.313.7%3.9%0.4%2.0%9.6%1.7%28.7%39.9%
Eury PerezMIARNYM22.15.112.8%3.4%0.6%2.1%10.2%1.2%27.8%41.9%

ATL vs WAS

Truist Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Drake BaldwinATLWAS1Official100%4.6516.8%1.3%0.1%8.1%9.8%2.3%21.3%40.4%
Ronald Acuña Jr.ATLWAS2Official100%4.5515.0%2.3%0.2%5.6%12.2%2.2%21.3%41.2%
Matt OlsonATLWAS3Official100%4.4412.2%3.4%0.1%9.7%9.6%0.6%25.4%39.1%
Michael Harris IIATLWAS4Official100%4.3317.7%2.8%0.1%7.8%3.5%0.7%21.5%46.1%
Ozzie AlbiesATLWAS5Official100%4.2214.0%1.9%0.1%5.5%7.9%1.2%19.4%50.0%
Mauricio DubónATLWAS6Official100%4.1117.2%2.6%0.5%3.9%6.3%0.7%15.7%52.9%
Dominic SmithATLWAS7Official100%4.0018.1%1.7%0.4%5.2%6.1%1.3%15.2%52.1%
Mike YastrzemskiATLWAS8Official100%3.9014.4%2.6%0.4%4.3%9.2%1.5%24.6%43.0%
James JarvisATLWAS9Official100%3.7915.7%3.0%0.9%4.0%5.7%1.4%19.0%50.3%
James WoodWASATL1Official100%4.6511.9%2.7%0.3%10.3%16.0%0.8%23.1%34.9%
Luis Garcia Jr.WASATL2Official100%4.5515.3%3.0%1.1%9.5%4.2%0.3%12.9%53.7%
Dylan CrewsWASATL3Official100%4.4413.7%1.9%0.1%5.4%6.1%2.5%20.0%50.2%
C.J. AbramsWASATL4Official100%4.3314.9%2.3%0.3%10.6%8.7%2.1%15.9%45.3%
Daylen LileWASATL5Official100%4.2214.5%3.1%1.1%5.1%5.6%0.9%15.6%54.1%
Keibert RuizWASATL6Official100%4.1114.5%4.7%0.1%5.0%4.7%1.0%8.4%61.6%
Jose TenaWASATL7Official100%4.0014.5%3.0%0.6%4.8%6.9%0.8%25.7%43.8%
Jorbit VivasWASATL8Official100%3.9015.6%2.3%0.5%2.4%8.9%1.5%13.6%55.2%
Nasim NunezWASATL9Official100%3.7918.7%0.8%0.9%1.4%9.2%0.4%18.6%50.0%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Grant HolmesATLRWAS21.34.814.4%2.4%0.5%6.0%8.4%1.0%17.8%49.4%
Jake IrvinWASRATL21.14.714.7%2.6%0.2%5.7%8.1%1.7%21.0%46.1%