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fangorithm

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MLB Player Projections

Friday, July 31, 2026
144 projections · 16 pitchers
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In-house daily hitter projections from fangorithm — an honest expected per-plate-appearance outcome vector (1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, HBP, K, out in play) shown as percentages, plus the expected volume for each hitter on the slate.

CHC vs NYY

Wrigley Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCNYY1Official100%4.6513.9%5.5%1.7%7.6%10.2%1.3%24.9%34.9%
Pedro RamirezCHCNYY2Official100%4.5516.8%6.0%1.2%2.3%9.3%0.5%17.2%46.8%
Michael BuschCHCNYY3Official100%4.4414.5%3.9%0.5%4.1%13.5%1.4%22.7%39.4%
Alex BregmanCHCNYY4Official100%4.3316.2%4.8%0.4%3.3%10.1%1.1%16.2%47.9%
Ian HappCHCNYY5Official100%4.2211.9%4.6%0.8%5.7%13.4%1.0%28.6%34.0%
Nico HoernerCHCNYY6Official100%4.1118.8%4.5%0.4%1.6%8.6%0.9%8.0%57.1%
Michael ConfortoCHCNYY7Official100%4.0011.8%5.7%0.2%5.5%11.8%0.6%27.1%37.4%
Dansby SwansonCHCNYY8Official100%3.9013.5%3.8%0.7%4.0%12.5%0.4%20.5%44.7%
Miguel AmayaCHCNYY9Official100%3.7914.4%4.8%0.2%3.5%8.4%2.8%24.4%41.5%
Paul GoldschmidtNYYCHC1Official100%4.6515.0%3.6%0.6%8.4%7.2%1.1%20.9%43.2%
Ben RiceNYYCHC2Official100%4.5513.3%2.7%1.0%9.2%7.5%0.9%25.3%40.2%
Amed RosarioNYYCHC3Official100%4.4413.5%3.2%0.8%6.2%6.1%0.4%24.0%45.9%
Jasson DominguezNYYCHC4Official100%4.3314.3%5.2%0.1%4.7%4.0%0.7%21.3%49.6%
Trent GrishamNYYCHC5Official100%4.2213.1%3.7%0.9%4.3%9.6%0.3%18.3%49.8%
Anthony VolpeNYYCHC6Official100%4.1116.3%4.3%0.8%2.7%9.2%0.4%20.1%46.2%
Spencer JonesNYYCHC7Official100%4.0013.7%4.5%0.3%4.4%8.6%0.6%32.0%35.9%
Ali SanchezNYYCHC8Official100%3.9015.7%4.1%0.3%4.5%4.4%1.4%24.6%45.1%
Jose CaballeroNYYCHC9Official100%3.7914.2%3.2%0.1%4.9%4.6%0.9%27.0%45.1%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Shota ImanagaCHCLNYY23.05.313.8%3.7%0.4%5.8%6.9%0.7%23.7%45.0%
Will WarrenNYYRCHC21.54.614.4%4.7%0.7%4.3%10.6%1.0%21.7%42.5%

CIN vs PIT

Great American Ball Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Elly De La CruzCINPIT1Official100%4.6513.8%5.1%0.4%3.7%10.2%0.6%33.1%32.9%
Sal StewartCINPIT2Official100%4.5512.6%5.9%0.0%4.6%9.9%0.5%27.3%39.1%
J.J. BledayCINPIT3Official100%4.4411.0%4.8%0.2%5.0%13.0%1.0%26.2%38.8%
Tyler StephensonCINPIT4Official100%4.3313.7%5.2%0.0%3.4%8.6%0.7%32.7%35.7%
Nate LoweCINPIT5Official100%4.2212.2%6.7%0.1%4.4%9.5%0.4%32.0%34.8%
Eugenio SuárezCINPIT6Official100%4.1111.3%4.1%0.0%4.0%7.8%0.7%41.4%30.6%
Dane MyersCINPIT7Official100%4.0015.8%3.5%0.1%1.9%11.7%1.4%31.9%33.7%
Noelvi MarteCINPIT8Official100%3.9012.7%5.2%0.1%3.2%6.6%0.6%27.8%43.8%
Matt McLainCINPIT9Official100%3.799.8%5.9%0.0%2.4%10.1%1.0%34.9%35.8%
Jake MangumPITCIN1Official100%4.6521.4%4.4%0.2%1.3%6.4%1.5%21.0%43.7%
Brandon LowePITCIN2Official100%4.5511.9%6.4%0.2%5.9%12.3%0.5%28.0%34.8%
Bryan ReynoldsPITCIN3Official100%4.4412.4%5.6%0.3%3.0%17.2%1.6%27.8%32.3%
Esmerlyn ValdezPITCIN4Official100%4.3310.1%5.0%0.2%6.5%13.3%0.7%38.8%25.2%
Ryan O'HearnPITCIN5Official100%4.2215.9%4.4%0.0%4.9%9.9%1.0%25.6%38.4%
Nick GonzalesPITCIN6Official100%4.1121.4%5.3%0.2%1.9%8.1%1.3%20.7%41.1%
Endy RodriguezPITCIN7Official100%4.0013.6%5.5%0.1%4.1%17.7%0.4%24.8%33.7%
Jacob GonzalezPITCIN8Official100%3.9014.3%4.2%0.1%3.7%8.6%0.8%25.8%42.5%
Henry DavisPITCIN9Official100%3.7910.3%3.3%0.1%4.0%13.3%2.2%24.7%42.1%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Hunter GreeneCINRPIT22.74.914.2%5.0%0.2%3.7%11.2%1.0%27.8%37.1%
Paul SkenesPITRCIN22.25.112.1%5.3%0.1%3.5%9.4%1.0%32.3%36.2%

BAL vs PHI

Oriole Park at Camden Yards
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Dylan BeaversBALPHI1Official100%4.6517.2%7.0%0.2%1.7%9.0%1.1%17.2%46.5%
Pete AlonsoBALPHI2Official100%4.5515.2%4.9%0.1%4.7%11.1%1.1%19.7%43.2%
Gunnar HendersonBALPHI3Official100%4.4416.3%3.9%0.7%3.5%7.3%1.4%19.0%47.8%
Taylor WardBALPHI4Official100%4.3318.0%4.9%0.1%1.2%14.3%1.4%16.3%43.7%
Leody TaverasBALPHI5Official100%4.2216.9%4.4%2.9%1.9%8.5%0.5%18.6%46.2%
Jackson HollidayBALPHI6Official100%4.1117.3%3.6%1.1%2.8%12.0%0.4%19.0%43.7%
Coby MayoBALPHI7Official100%4.0014.3%3.5%0.9%3.3%6.8%1.1%29.0%41.2%
Colton CowserBALPHI8Official100%3.9016.8%2.1%0.2%3.5%11.8%0.6%23.0%42.1%
Yohel PozoBALPHI9Official100%3.7917.8%4.6%0.5%2.2%5.4%0.9%15.2%53.3%
Trea TurnerPHIBAL1Official100%4.6516.7%4.3%0.6%2.6%5.0%0.4%21.3%49.2%
Kyle SchwarberPHIBAL2Official100%4.5511.9%2.8%0.3%5.8%12.2%0.6%33.0%33.4%
Bryce HarperPHIBAL3Official100%4.4413.0%6.2%1.2%5.0%12.3%0.3%16.8%45.1%
Alec BohmPHIBAL4Official100%4.3317.0%4.0%0.1%2.2%6.4%1.1%13.1%56.1%
Brandon MarshPHIBAL5Official100%4.2220.4%4.6%0.6%3.6%5.6%0.3%19.8%45.1%
J.T. RealmutoPHIBAL6Official100%4.1114.9%5.3%0.2%2.3%6.7%1.7%18.7%50.3%
Bryson StottPHIBAL7Official100%4.0014.9%6.0%2.3%2.0%6.5%0.4%16.5%51.5%
Gabriel Rincones JrPHIBAL8Official100%3.9013.8%5.2%0.3%2.2%4.2%1.2%26.1%46.9%
Justin CrawfordPHIBAL9Official100%3.7919.2%5.1%1.3%0.9%5.0%0.5%17.4%50.6%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Brandon YoungBALRPHI23.95.415.7%4.8%0.7%2.6%7.5%0.6%20.3%47.8%
Andrew PainterPHIRBAL21.54.716.9%4.3%0.6%3.0%9.3%1.0%19.1%45.7%

TOR vs STL

Rogers Centre
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Nathan LukesTORSTL1Official100%4.6519.5%3.5%0.1%1.6%6.8%1.3%13.3%54.0%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TORSTL2Official100%4.5518.1%3.3%0.0%1.0%8.7%1.0%13.9%54.0%
Kazuma OkamotoTORSTL3Official100%4.4412.0%2.6%0.0%3.4%9.1%1.3%32.2%39.4%
George SpringerTORSTL4Official100%4.3314.0%2.6%0.1%2.3%10.3%0.7%19.0%51.0%
Daulton VarshoTORSTL5Official100%4.2215.6%3.5%0.3%1.3%8.7%0.6%19.0%51.0%
Ernie ClementTORSTL6Official100%4.1119.9%5.3%0.1%1.2%3.3%0.5%9.5%60.1%
Jesus SanchezTORSTL7Official100%4.0015.6%4.5%0.1%2.1%5.2%1.8%23.5%47.3%
Brandon ValenzuelaTORSTL8Official100%3.9014.3%2.5%0.1%2.3%10.2%0.4%25.9%44.4%
Andrés GiménezTORSTL9Official100%3.7914.6%3.6%0.2%1.2%4.1%2.0%20.8%53.4%
JJ WetherholtSTLTOR1Official100%4.6514.9%1.6%0.0%1.9%11.7%2.6%30.1%37.1%
Jordan WalkerSTLTOR2Official100%4.5513.9%3.2%0.0%2.6%8.6%0.7%41.7%29.3%
Alec BurlesonSTLTOR3Official100%4.4415.1%4.2%0.1%2.2%11.0%0.9%29.0%37.4%
Ivan HerreraSTLTOR4Official100%4.3313.9%2.4%0.1%1.3%10.5%4.4%32.3%35.0%
Lars NootbaarSTLTOR5Official100%4.2212.5%3.1%0.3%1.1%16.2%0.4%35.7%30.7%
Masyn WinnSTLTOR6Official100%4.1114.8%1.6%0.3%0.8%10.7%1.5%34.6%35.7%
Nathan ChurchSTLTOR7Official100%4.0013.0%2.2%0.2%1.6%7.0%0.8%37.2%38.0%
Jose FerminSTLTOR8Official100%3.9013.8%2.5%0.1%1.4%10.4%0.7%29.2%41.8%
Jimmy CrooksSTLTOR9Official100%3.7910.4%2.2%0.1%1.6%9.5%1.5%45.5%29.1%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Dylan CeaseTORRSTL23.65.512.7%2.5%0.1%1.6%11.6%1.1%35.5%34.9%
Kyle LeahySTLRTOR21.75.115.2%3.4%0.1%1.9%7.8%1.2%19.9%50.5%

CLE vs ARI

Progressive Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Angel MartinezCLEARI1Official100%4.6513.7%3.6%0.6%2.4%4.1%1.6%17.1%57.0%
José RamírezCLEARI2Official100%4.5513.3%5.8%0.1%2.3%11.4%0.8%10.0%56.3%
Chase DeLauterCLEARI3Official100%4.4416.4%5.9%0.4%1.4%10.0%0.3%13.2%52.5%
Rhys HoskinsCLEARI4Official100%4.337.6%3.9%0.1%2.1%15.9%1.0%30.0%39.3%
Brayan RocchioCLEARI5Official100%4.2214.3%4.7%0.6%1.4%7.0%1.6%13.8%56.6%
David FryCLEARI6Official100%4.119.7%2.4%0.1%2.0%15.6%0.5%28.9%40.9%
Travis BazzanaCLEARI7Official100%4.0012.4%3.3%0.3%1.2%13.0%1.4%21.6%46.7%
Austin HedgesCLEARI8Official100%3.9014.8%4.8%0.1%1.4%10.6%0.7%13.2%54.3%
Steven KwanCLEARI9Official100%3.7913.4%3.6%0.3%0.4%14.1%0.9%10.7%56.5%
Corbin CarrollARICLE1Official100%4.659.5%4.5%1.7%2.0%9.3%0.8%24.9%47.4%
Geraldo PerdomoARICLE2Official100%4.5512.3%3.4%0.4%1.4%12.6%0.8%11.8%57.2%
Gabriel MorenoARICLE3Official100%4.4416.4%4.9%0.1%1.4%10.2%0.8%15.2%51.0%
Ketel MarteARICLE4Official100%4.3313.2%4.0%0.5%2.2%6.1%0.3%15.5%58.2%
Max KeplerARICLE5Official100%4.2212.7%4.9%0.1%1.8%6.9%0.5%20.8%52.4%
Nolan ArenadoARICLE6Official100%4.1112.5%4.5%0.1%2.1%6.9%1.3%22.3%50.3%
Adrian Del CastilloARICLE7Official100%4.0012.3%3.6%0.4%1.9%6.7%0.3%26.6%48.2%
Tim TawaARICLE8Official100%3.9012.3%4.3%0.1%1.8%6.3%0.4%22.3%52.4%
Ryan WaldschmidtARICLE9Official100%3.7913.2%5.7%0.5%0.9%4.9%0.6%34.3%39.9%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Tanner BibeeCLERARI23.05.512.8%4.4%0.4%1.8%7.6%0.6%20.9%51.5%
Mitch BrattARILCLE20.84.712.6%4.4%0.3%1.8%12.1%1.0%16.5%51.3%

CWS vs TB

Tropicana Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Chase MeidrothCWSTB1Projected85%4.6517.2%5.3%0.1%2.4%9.7%0.9%18.6%45.9%
Munetaka MurakamiCWSTB2Projected85%4.5512.7%4.0%0.1%6.0%16.6%0.7%25.9%34.0%
Miguel VargasCWSTB3Projected85%4.4412.2%5.9%0.3%4.3%12.1%1.4%14.4%49.4%
Randal GrichukCWSTB4Projected85%4.3313.8%6.8%0.5%4.3%6.4%1.0%18.6%48.7%
Colson MontgomeryCWSTB5Projected85%4.2212.5%4.9%0.1%5.0%9.0%1.9%25.4%41.2%
Everson PereiraCWSTB6Projected85%4.1114.5%5.3%0.3%3.3%8.1%1.6%23.9%43.1%
Braden MontgomeryCWSTB7Projected85%4.0014.5%6.0%0.8%2.4%9.4%1.2%17.0%48.8%
Luisangel AcunaCWSTB8Projected85%3.9017.4%3.4%0.2%1.8%6.1%0.9%15.8%54.5%
Edgar QueroCWSTB9Projected85%3.7915.3%2.6%0.2%2.0%7.9%1.4%17.7%52.9%

NYM vs MIA

Citi Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
A.J. EwingNYMMIA1Official100%4.6518.7%3.9%0.5%1.9%8.3%0.4%22.8%43.5%
Francisco LindorNYMMIA2Official100%4.5514.8%2.5%2.8%2.4%8.2%0.8%17.1%51.4%
Bo BichetteNYMMIA3Official100%4.4420.1%3.2%0.5%1.4%5.1%0.4%15.9%53.3%
Carson BengeNYMMIA4Official100%4.3319.7%3.3%1.1%1.9%6.7%0.8%18.1%48.5%
Luis Robert Jr.NYMMIA5Official100%4.2216.2%3.0%0.3%2.0%9.6%0.4%18.7%49.8%
Jared YoungNYMMIA6Official100%4.1117.2%4.4%0.2%2.8%7.6%1.7%15.4%50.6%
Brett BatyNYMMIA7Official100%4.0017.2%3.2%0.6%1.6%7.6%0.6%22.8%46.4%
Jorge PolancoNYMMIA8Official100%3.9013.4%4.0%0.3%1.4%6.9%0.4%20.5%53.2%
Francisco AlvarezNYMMIA9Official100%3.7917.4%2.9%0.2%3.4%8.4%0.8%22.8%44.1%
Liam HicksMIANYM1Official100%4.6519.5%2.6%0.6%3.3%15.2%1.9%9.6%47.2%
Xavier EdwardsMIANYM2Official100%4.5519.7%3.0%2.5%1.0%17.4%0.3%14.4%41.8%
Otto LopezMIANYM3Official100%4.4420.5%4.7%2.4%1.7%9.0%1.0%17.2%43.5%
Kyle StowersMIANYM4Official100%4.3311.8%4.2%1.2%3.5%14.5%1.8%33.9%29.2%
Griffin ConineMIANYM5Official100%4.2213.1%3.6%0.2%4.5%14.9%1.0%32.5%30.2%
Heriberto HernandezMIANYM6Official100%4.1113.4%4.1%0.4%3.5%13.2%0.5%29.9%35.0%
Jakob MarseeMIANYM7Official100%4.0013.3%3.0%0.7%1.4%17.9%1.2%24.4%38.2%
Joe MackMIANYM8Official100%3.9014.6%3.0%0.2%4.0%10.5%1.1%27.8%38.9%
Javier SanojaMIANYM9Official100%3.7917.5%6.5%1.0%1.1%9.6%0.4%9.1%54.8%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Kodai SengaNYMRMIA17.93.715.1%3.6%1.0%2.6%14.3%1.0%22.8%39.4%
Janson JunkMIARNYM22.45.116.9%3.4%0.8%2.2%7.5%0.7%19.3%49.3%

ATL vs WAS

Truist Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Ronald Acuña Jr.ATLWAS1Official100%4.6512.1%2.5%0.4%4.2%8.9%1.6%24.7%45.7%
Drake BaldwinATLWAS2Official100%4.5516.1%1.3%0.1%7.8%6.1%2.1%19.1%47.4%
Matt OlsonATLWAS3Official100%4.4413.0%3.1%0.0%8.4%5.3%1.0%24.3%44.9%
Ozzie AlbiesATLWAS4Official100%4.3316.2%3.2%0.0%6.8%3.2%1.3%10.5%58.8%
Michael Harris IIATLWAS5Official100%4.2216.4%2.8%0.1%6.6%3.1%1.1%18.1%51.8%
Mauricio DubónATLWAS6Official100%4.1115.1%3.4%0.2%4.4%4.0%0.6%12.5%59.8%
Austin RileyATLWAS7Official100%4.0014.3%1.8%0.3%3.3%5.7%2.4%28.7%43.6%
Joey BartATLWAS8Official100%3.9013.1%2.4%0.1%4.6%3.7%3.9%25.7%46.4%
James JarvisATLWAS9Official100%3.7912.9%3.2%0.5%3.8%5.0%1.8%18.8%54.2%
James WoodWASATL1Official100%4.6512.2%2.6%0.3%10.5%13.8%0.7%23.7%36.2%
Luis Garcia Jr.WASATL2Official100%4.5515.3%2.9%1.5%9.9%3.3%0.2%13.2%53.6%
Dylan CrewsWASATL3Official100%4.4413.9%1.8%0.1%5.4%4.9%2.1%21.1%50.8%
C.J. AbramsWASATL4Official100%4.3315.2%2.2%0.4%10.7%7.0%1.8%16.5%46.2%
Brady HouseWASATL5Official100%4.2213.9%1.9%0.1%6.2%5.1%0.3%25.1%47.3%
Daylen LileWASATL6Official100%4.1114.6%2.9%1.2%6.0%4.5%0.8%15.8%54.2%
Harry FordWASATL7Official100%4.0014.4%2.2%0.3%5.5%8.0%1.4%19.7%48.5%
Jose TenaWASATL8Official100%3.9015.1%2.9%0.7%4.8%5.5%0.6%26.1%44.3%
Jacob YoungWASATL9Official100%3.7915.1%1.9%0.5%5.6%4.3%1.2%15.7%55.5%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Bryce ElderATLRWAS23.65.414.5%2.3%0.5%6.9%6.6%0.8%19.8%48.6%
Foster GriffinWASLATL23.45.514.1%2.4%0.2%6.1%4.9%1.6%20.3%50.4%

HOU vs TEX

Daikin Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Jeremy PeñaHOUTEX1Official100%4.6518.4%3.3%0.1%7.5%6.5%1.3%19.4%43.5%
Yordan AlvarezHOUTEX2Official100%4.5514.1%4.7%0.0%11.2%13.7%1.0%18.4%36.9%
Isaac ParedesHOUTEX3Official100%4.4413.0%3.7%0.1%6.2%9.8%3.2%16.9%47.2%
Christian WalkerHOUTEX4Official100%4.3312.9%4.6%0.2%7.6%6.8%1.4%26.0%40.5%
Jose AltuveHOUTEX5Official100%4.2213.1%4.2%0.2%5.8%7.5%0.4%24.2%44.6%
Taylor TrammellHOUTEX6Official100%4.1113.6%3.7%0.2%5.6%7.4%1.4%34.7%33.4%
Yainer DiazHOUTEX7Official100%4.0014.4%4.4%0.1%6.8%4.6%0.8%17.2%51.9%
LaMonte Wade JrHOUTEX8Official100%3.9011.7%3.1%0.1%4.9%12.7%0.7%25.8%41.0%
Cam SmithHOUTEX9Official100%3.7912.2%3.6%0.1%4.9%7.4%1.4%27.6%42.7%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Hunter BrownHOURTEX22.14.612.7%3.9%0.2%4.2%15.5%1.3%23.2%39.1%
Nathan EovaldiTEXRHOU24.75.413.6%3.9%0.1%6.3%8.6%1.3%23.5%42.7%