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fangorithm

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MLB Player Projections

Sunday, August 9, 2026
126 projections · 14 pitchers
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In-house daily hitter projections from fangorithm — an honest expected per-plate-appearance outcome vector (1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, HBP, K, out in play) shown as percentages, plus the expected volume for each hitter on the slate.

WAS vs CIN

Nationals Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
C.J. AbramsWASCIN1Official100%4.6516.6%3.5%1.0%8.8%8.6%2.9%16.1%42.4%
Abimelec OrtizWASCIN2Official100%4.5515.5%4.2%0.5%5.3%8.0%1.2%18.5%46.8%
Jose TenaWASCIN3Official100%4.4416.3%4.5%1.0%3.7%7.3%0.9%23.9%42.4%
Daylen LileWASCIN4Official100%4.3315.6%4.8%1.9%5.5%5.3%1.2%15.3%50.5%
Dylan CrewsWASCIN5Official100%4.2215.4%2.8%0.2%4.1%5.8%3.0%20.6%48.1%
Jorbit VivasWASCIN6Official100%4.1117.4%3.5%0.8%2.0%9.4%1.9%12.6%52.4%
Nasim NunezWASCIN7Official100%4.0020.2%1.2%1.6%1.1%9.1%0.5%17.8%48.6%
Keibert RuizWASCIN8Official100%3.9017.3%6.9%0.2%3.9%5.1%1.2%8.1%57.2%
Jacob YoungWASCIN9Official100%3.7917.0%3.2%1.4%4.5%5.4%1.9%15.2%51.5%
Elly De La CruzCINWAS1Official100%4.6516.3%3.4%1.4%5.2%11.3%0.6%22.9%38.8%
Sal StewartCINWAS2Official100%4.5515.4%4.0%0.1%6.5%9.5%0.7%18.5%45.4%
J.J. BledayCINWAS3Official100%4.4413.1%3.2%0.5%6.7%14.3%0.9%17.7%43.6%
Tyler StephensonCINWAS4Official100%4.3315.8%4.1%0.1%4.9%9.0%0.6%23.4%42.0%
Eugenio SuárezCINWAS5Official100%4.2213.7%3.2%0.1%5.5%8.9%0.7%31.9%36.0%
Hector RodriguezCINWAS6Official100%4.1114.8%4.2%0.5%3.6%10.6%1.2%18.7%46.5%
Dane MyersCINWAS7Official100%4.0018.6%2.7%0.2%2.2%11.8%1.4%23.9%39.4%
Matt McLainCINWAS8Official100%3.9011.9%4.7%0.1%3.5%10.0%1.4%25.5%43.0%
Ke'Bryan HayesCINWAS9Official100%3.7913.3%1.6%0.9%3.5%6.5%1.3%17.9%55.0%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Brad LordWASRCIN10.92.415.0%3.5%0.4%4.7%9.6%1.2%21.7%43.9%
Brady SingerCINRWAS22.74.916.8%3.8%0.8%4.4%8.0%1.6%16.4%48.2%

MIA vs LAA

LoanDepot Park
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Kyle StowersMIALAA1Official100%4.6512.4%5.8%0.8%3.6%8.0%2.3%26.8%40.2%
Xavier EdwardsMIALAA2Official100%4.5519.4%3.9%1.7%1.0%9.4%0.3%10.4%53.9%
Otto LopezMIALAA3Official100%4.4419.3%6.0%1.5%1.6%4.4%1.3%11.7%54.3%
Griffin ConineMIALAA4Official100%4.3313.0%4.4%0.2%4.3%8.7%1.3%27.0%41.1%
Heriberto HernandezMIALAA5Official100%4.2213.6%5.2%0.3%3.3%7.6%0.6%22.8%46.6%
Owen CaissieMIALAA6Official100%4.1112.4%5.3%0.1%3.9%6.8%1.3%32.3%37.8%
Agustin RamirezMIALAA7Official100%4.0015.3%3.8%0.5%1.5%7.7%1.5%19.8%49.8%
Jakob MarseeMIALAA8Official100%3.9013.3%4.5%0.5%1.3%10.2%1.6%18.3%50.2%
Javier SanojaMIALAA9Official100%3.7916.0%8.2%0.6%1.1%4.6%0.4%5.9%63.2%
Wade MecklerLAAMIA1Official100%4.6520.1%5.2%0.1%1.6%6.2%0.8%18.1%47.8%
Mike TroutLAAMIA2Official100%4.5513.0%4.0%0.1%3.6%11.7%1.5%24.3%41.9%
Nolan SchanuelLAAMIA3Official100%4.4418.7%5.7%0.1%1.4%6.1%1.2%11.6%55.3%
Zach NetoLAAMIA4Official100%4.3312.1%4.7%0.7%3.1%6.4%1.9%30.1%41.0%
Moises BallesterosLAAMIA5Official100%4.2215.8%3.4%0.1%2.5%6.5%0.5%18.7%52.4%
Denzer GuzmanLAAMIA6Official100%4.1118.3%3.4%0.2%2.0%4.3%1.0%19.9%50.9%
Josh LoweLAAMIA7Official100%4.0014.3%2.8%0.1%3.0%5.6%0.7%23.8%49.7%
Jose SiriLAAMIA8Official100%3.9017.0%5.3%0.2%2.4%5.1%1.4%22.3%46.3%
Adam FrazierLAAMIA9Official100%3.7913.1%6.1%0.2%1.5%6.1%0.8%27.1%45.1%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Ryan GustoMIARLAA16.23.815.5%4.5%0.3%2.3%6.3%1.1%21.9%48.1%
Grayson RodriguezLAARMIA21.54.914.5%5.4%0.8%2.6%7.6%1.5%18.9%48.8%

KC vs CHC

Kauffman Stadium
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Nick LoftinKCCHC1Official100%4.6514.4%4.9%1.1%1.7%4.1%1.9%16.7%55.2%
Bobby Witt Jr.KCCHC2Official100%4.5517.9%5.8%0.9%3.1%3.8%0.5%14.8%53.3%
Jac CaglianoneKCCHC3Official100%4.4413.7%3.9%0.6%3.8%1.9%1.6%31.3%43.2%
Salvador PerezKCCHC4Official100%4.3312.7%4.5%0.4%3.3%1.8%2.2%21.1%54.0%
Starling MarteKCCHC5Official100%4.2216.7%2.8%0.3%1.3%2.7%2.3%26.4%47.6%
Michael MasseyKCCHC6Official100%4.1113.7%5.1%0.2%3.1%2.2%0.4%22.8%52.5%
Tyler TolbertKCCHC7Official100%4.0017.2%4.1%0.4%2.9%3.4%0.8%18.5%52.7%
Luke MaileKCCHC8Official100%3.9013.6%3.9%0.6%3.5%3.2%1.2%27.9%46.2%
Kyle IsbelKCCHC9Official100%3.7914.7%2.7%1.4%1.8%2.3%1.3%24.0%51.7%
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCKC1Official100%4.6512.7%4.7%2.9%5.1%6.1%1.4%22.0%45.1%
Michael BuschCHCKC2Official100%4.5513.7%3.3%0.8%2.7%7.1%1.7%19.5%51.2%
Alex BregmanCHCKC3Official100%4.4414.7%4.0%0.6%2.3%5.1%1.2%13.2%58.9%
Ian HappCHCKC4Official100%4.3310.9%3.9%1.3%3.8%7.4%1.0%26.9%44.8%
Michael ConfortoCHCKC5Official100%4.2210.7%4.9%0.3%3.7%6.3%0.6%25.6%47.9%
Nico HoernerCHCKC6Official100%4.1116.4%3.8%0.6%1.3%4.2%0.9%6.7%66.1%
Dansby SwansonCHCKC7Official100%4.0012.5%3.2%1.1%2.6%6.3%0.4%18.0%55.9%
Miguel AmayaCHCKC8Official100%3.9013.0%4.4%0.3%2.2%4.5%3.0%21.9%50.7%
Tyrone TaylorCHCKC9Official100%3.7911.9%3.4%0.3%4.6%4.5%1.3%14.9%59.1%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Randy DobnakKCRCHC21.55.213.2%3.9%1.0%3.2%5.8%1.1%17.2%54.6%
Matthew BoydCHCLKC22.95.614.9%3.8%0.6%2.8%2.9%1.4%22.7%50.9%

CWS vs CLE

Rate Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Brenton DoyleCWSCLE1Official100%4.6513.8%5.5%0.1%1.2%11.2%0.4%32.1%35.6%
Munetaka MurakamiCWSCLE2Official100%4.5510.2%3.7%0.1%4.0%17.2%0.3%38.6%25.9%
Miguel VargasCWSCLE3Official100%4.4411.2%5.2%0.3%3.8%15.7%0.6%21.5%41.7%
Randal GrichukCWSCLE4Official100%4.3312.4%8.6%0.3%3.7%6.7%0.6%27.4%40.3%
Braden MontgomeryCWSCLE5Official100%4.2212.5%5.4%0.8%1.8%11.9%0.8%26.2%40.5%
Colson MontgomeryCWSCLE6Official100%4.1111.8%6.0%0.1%4.1%9.6%1.6%33.3%33.6%
Edgar QueroCWSCLE7Official100%4.0014.3%2.0%0.1%1.8%9.8%0.9%23.1%48.0%
Sam AntonacciCWSCLE8Official100%3.9015.8%4.6%0.3%1.3%7.0%3.3%22.1%45.5%
Luisangel AcunaCWSCLE9Official100%3.7918.9%3.6%0.1%1.0%5.4%0.5%19.7%50.8%
Steven KwanCLECWS1Official100%4.6518.8%4.3%0.2%0.6%11.0%0.9%9.4%54.7%
Chase DeLauterCLECWS2Official100%4.5516.1%6.4%0.1%2.2%10.4%0.3%12.9%51.5%
José RamírezCLECWS3Official100%4.4413.5%6.4%0.0%1.6%11.6%0.5%13.6%52.9%
Nate LoweCLECWS4Official100%4.3314.4%8.1%0.1%3.1%8.6%0.4%24.7%40.6%
Jo AdellCLECWS5Official100%4.2214.7%5.5%0.2%1.7%3.8%3.4%23.3%47.4%
Travis BazzanaCLECWS6Official100%4.1114.7%6.1%0.4%2.2%10.4%1.1%20.4%44.7%
Brayan RocchioCLECWS7Official100%4.0017.3%5.1%0.2%1.5%6.6%2.0%13.9%53.4%
Patrick BaileyCLECWS8Official100%3.9014.6%3.7%0.3%1.9%5.7%0.4%23.8%49.5%
Angel GenaoCLECWS9Official100%3.7916.7%4.9%0.2%1.9%6.8%1.1%17.7%50.6%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Davis MartinCWSRCLE23.15.215.2%5.8%0.2%1.9%8.6%1.2%18.0%49.2%
Joey CantilloCLELCWS21.64.813.6%5.0%0.2%2.6%11.2%0.7%27.4%39.4%

MIL vs MIN

American Family Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Jackson ChourioMILMIN1Official100%4.6515.1%3.9%0.1%4.4%9.2%0.6%28.0%38.7%
Brice TurangMILMIN2Official100%4.5513.6%3.6%0.7%2.5%11.4%0.3%31.1%36.7%
Andrew VaughnMILMIN3Official100%4.4415.0%6.6%1.7%3.0%12.5%1.5%14.6%45.0%
William ContrerasMILMIN4Official100%4.3315.8%3.7%0.3%2.5%9.6%0.9%19.5%47.8%
Jake BauersMILMIN5Official100%4.2212.7%4.5%1.2%4.5%13.8%0.7%27.2%35.5%
Luis LaraMILMIN6Official100%4.1113.1%4.5%1.2%2.3%13.0%0.9%22.3%42.6%
Gary SánchezMILMIN7Official100%4.0012.9%2.4%1.1%4.3%17.7%0.9%19.4%41.3%
Brandon LockridgeMILMIN8Official100%3.9016.1%3.2%0.3%1.7%10.3%0.7%29.9%37.8%
David HamiltonMILMIN9Official100%3.7914.7%2.2%0.9%1.6%9.9%1.0%27.3%42.3%
Trevor LarnachMINMIL1Official100%4.6514.1%4.2%0.4%2.9%8.9%1.3%35.0%33.3%
Royce LewisMINMIL2Official100%4.5510.7%3.0%0.3%3.9%7.1%1.1%43.7%30.2%
Josh BellMINMIL3Official100%4.4411.7%3.9%0.4%3.6%6.8%0.6%40.0%33.1%
Kody ClemensMINMIL4Official100%4.339.6%3.5%1.2%4.8%4.6%1.6%40.2%34.4%
Brooks LeeMINMIL5Official100%4.2213.7%3.0%1.1%4.6%6.3%0.6%29.9%40.8%
Luke KeaschallMINMIL6Official100%4.1114.8%2.8%0.4%1.8%8.3%3.7%30.5%37.7%
Victor CaratiniMINMIL7Official100%4.0013.0%2.5%0.1%2.8%8.0%2.3%34.4%36.8%
Alan RodenMINMIL8Official100%3.9013.7%2.5%0.3%2.1%10.3%1.0%31.2%38.9%
Ryan KreidlerMINMIL9Official100%3.7912.1%2.7%1.7%3.3%4.5%0.7%39.7%35.3%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Jacob MisiorowskiMILRMIN22.75.611.3%2.7%0.5%3.2%6.7%1.4%39.5%34.6%
Connor PrielippMINLMIL22.34.914.2%3.7%0.9%3.3%11.2%1.0%24.8%40.9%

STL vs COL

Busch Stadium
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
JJ WetherholtSTLCOL1Official100%4.6521.8%3.2%0.1%2.1%10.3%2.8%8.4%51.3%
Ivan HerreraSTLCOL2Official100%4.5520.4%4.9%0.4%1.7%8.2%4.7%10.0%49.6%
Alec BurlesonSTLCOL3Official100%4.4421.6%8.1%0.4%2.8%8.6%1.0%8.6%49.0%
Jordan WalkerSTLCOL4Official100%4.3323.5%6.3%0.1%3.1%6.6%0.8%14.1%45.5%
Jimmy CrooksSTLCOL5Official100%4.2218.4%5.3%0.2%2.4%7.3%1.8%18.0%46.5%
Masyn WinnSTLCOL6Official100%4.1122.4%3.3%0.9%1.0%9.1%1.6%11.0%50.7%
Nathan ChurchSTLCOL7Official100%4.0021.6%4.1%0.6%2.0%6.2%0.9%11.6%53.1%
Jose FerminSTLCOL8Official100%3.9020.5%5.1%0.2%1.5%7.1%0.7%8.1%56.9%
Bryan TorresSTLCOL9Official100%3.7920.0%5.5%0.6%2.1%9.0%1.1%12.2%49.5%
Jake McCarthyCOLSTL1Official100%4.6518.7%7.8%1.4%2.0%4.4%0.4%9.9%55.4%
Cole CarriggCOLSTL2Official100%4.5516.3%6.7%1.5%2.1%9.5%1.1%11.5%51.4%
T.J. RumfieldCOLSTL3Official100%4.4420.2%7.1%0.4%2.4%7.8%0.9%8.0%53.3%
Hunter GoodmanCOLSTL4Official100%4.3315.8%5.1%0.1%5.4%6.7%0.8%20.9%45.2%
Mickey MoniakCOLSTL5Official100%4.2216.5%7.0%1.3%4.5%5.3%0.4%13.9%51.1%
Kyle KarrosCOLSTL6Official100%4.1118.0%5.1%0.7%2.1%10.8%0.7%12.1%50.5%
Willi CastroCOLSTL7Official100%4.0018.4%5.8%0.2%2.3%7.7%0.7%16.4%48.4%
Brett SullivanCOLSTL8Official100%3.9015.8%6.8%0.7%2.2%4.8%0.4%11.2%58.2%
Ezequiel TovarCOLSTL9Official100%3.7917.2%5.5%0.1%1.7%4.8%0.3%14.3%56.0%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Michael McGreevySTLRCOL22.14.917.7%6.3%0.6%2.5%6.4%0.5%13.1%52.9%
Michael LorenzenCOLRSTL21.74.421.4%5.3%0.4%2.1%8.5%1.4%10.5%50.3%

TEX vs BAL

Globe Life Field
PlayerTeamOppSlotStatusStart%xPA1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Wyatt LangfordTEXBAL1Official100%4.6512.8%2.7%1.1%5.0%5.4%0.6%21.6%50.8%
Corey SeagerTEXBAL2Official100%4.5511.1%1.7%0.1%3.5%10.3%0.8%25.0%47.4%
Ezequiel DuranTEXBAL3Official100%4.4414.3%3.1%0.6%3.1%8.1%1.0%19.9%50.0%
Brandon NimmoTEXBAL4Official100%4.3315.6%3.9%0.7%3.4%6.3%1.5%16.5%52.1%
Jake BurgerTEXBAL5Official100%4.2212.5%2.6%0.1%4.8%6.7%0.9%24.0%48.4%
Justin FoscueTEXBAL6Official100%4.1112.4%3.3%0.9%5.2%7.1%1.3%21.3%48.5%
Elias DíazTEXBAL7Official100%4.0012.4%3.9%0.2%4.4%4.3%0.9%18.3%55.6%
Jonah BrideTEXBAL8Official100%3.9013.2%2.5%0.5%3.5%7.4%1.2%19.0%52.7%
Cameron CauleyTEXBAL9Official100%3.7911.9%2.2%1.3%3.1%6.5%1.5%21.6%51.7%
Gunnar HendersonBALTEX1Official100%4.6512.7%1.9%0.8%3.8%7.4%1.5%21.2%50.8%
Pete AlonsoBALTEX2Official100%4.5512.5%2.4%0.1%5.4%10.1%1.2%22.7%45.6%
Jackson HollidayBALTEX3Official100%4.4413.7%1.7%0.9%3.0%11.5%0.4%21.8%47.0%
Tyler O'NeillBALTEX4Official100%4.3312.4%2.1%0.2%3.4%8.5%1.2%25.1%47.2%
Dylan BeaversBALTEX5Official100%4.2214.1%3.7%0.2%1.8%8.8%1.0%21.8%48.6%
Leody TaverasBALTEX6Official100%4.1113.4%2.4%2.5%2.5%8.0%0.5%21.3%49.4%
Coby MayoBALTEX7Official100%4.0011.5%1.7%1.3%3.6%6.0%1.0%32.3%42.6%
Colton CowserBALTEX8Official100%3.9013.5%1.0%0.2%3.7%11.1%0.5%25.8%44.2%
Carlos NarvaezBALTEX9Official100%3.7912.1%1.6%0.2%1.9%5.9%1.8%31.0%45.5%

Probable Starters

PitcherTeamThrowsOppxBFxIP1B2B3BHRBBHBPKOIP
Kumar RockerTEXRBAL22.05.312.8%2.1%0.7%3.4%8.5%0.9%24.4%47.1%
Cade PovichBALLTEX21.55.113.2%2.8%0.6%3.9%6.6%1.1%19.8%51.9%